**Forecast models from AEMET and international sources indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and a warming trend that positions Madrid's September 14 high temperature near 33–35 °C.** Current consensus from numerical weather prediction runs shows afternoon maxima most likely reaching 34 °C, with a substantial chance of 35 °C under continued high pressure and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 34 °C (56 %) and 35 °C (35 %), while lower outcomes like 33 °C receive far less weight. Historical September averages near 27 °C and a 1987 record of 34.4 °C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern—stable anticyclonic conditions and daytime heating—supports the elevated range without exceeding it substantially. Official resolution will depend on the verified maximum at the Madrid reference station, with any last-minute model shifts or observational adjustments able to influence final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on September 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 14?
34°C 58%
35°C 32%
33°C 6%
36°C 1.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
6%
34°C
58%
35°C
32%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 58%
35°C 32%
33°C 6%
36°C 1.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
29°C or below
$238 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$693 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$221 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$289 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$2,184 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$1,963 ปริมาณ
58%
35°C
$2,169 ปริมาณ
32%
36°C
$330 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C
$256 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$277 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C or higher
$236 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from AEMET and international sources indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and a warming trend that positions Madrid's September 14 high temperature near 33–35 °C.**
Current consensus from numerical weather prediction runs shows afternoon maxima most likely reaching 34 °C, with a substantial chance of 35 °C under continued high pressure and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 34 °C (56 %) and 35 °C (35 %), while lower outcomes like 33 °C receive far less weight. Historical September averages near 27 °C and a 1987 record of 34.4 °C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern—stable anticyclonic conditions and daytime heating—supports the elevated range without exceeding it substantially. Official resolution will depend on the verified maximum at the Madrid reference station, with any last-minute model shifts or observational adjustments able to influence final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,857วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from AEMET and international sources indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and a warming trend that positions Madrid's September 14 high temperature near 33–35 °C.**
Current consensus from numerical weather prediction runs shows afternoon maxima most likely reaching 34 °C, with a substantial chance of 35 °C under continued high pressure and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 34 °C (56 %) and 35 °C (35 %), while lower outcomes like 33 °C receive far less weight. Historical September averages near 27 °C and a 1987 record of 34.4 °C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern—stable anticyclonic conditions and daytime heating—supports the elevated range without exceeding it substantially. Official resolution will depend on the verified maximum at the Madrid reference station, with any last-minute model shifts or observational adjustments able to influence final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,857วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from AEMET and international sources indicate clear skies, light southerly winds, and a warming trend that positions Madrid's September 14 high temperature near 33–35 °C.** Current consensus from numerical weather prediction runs shows afternoon maxima most likely reaching 34 °C, with a substantial chance of 35 °C under continued high pressure and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 34 °C (56 %) and 35 °C (35 %), while lower outcomes like 33 °C receive far less weight. Historical September averages near 27 °C and a 1987 record of 34.4 °C provide context, yet the present synoptic pattern—stable anticyclonic conditions and daytime heating—supports the elevated range without exceeding it substantially. Official resolution will depend on the verified maximum at the Madrid reference station, with any last-minute model shifts or observational adjustments able to influence final settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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