Recent forecasts from global models place Mexico City's September 13 high near 23–25 °C, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the late rainy season are limiting daytime heating at the city's high elevation, keeping afternoon maxima close to the September climatological average of about 25 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside potential if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus output and historical analogs over any outlier warmer runs, producing the observed concentration of probability between 24 °C and 26 °C. The final recorded maximum will be determined by official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations once the 24-hour period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 13?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 13?
25°C 51%
26°C 25%
24°C 17%
27°C or higher 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
17%
25°C
51%
26°C
25%
27°C or higher
6%
25°C 51%
26°C 25%
24°C 17%
27°C or higher 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
17°C or below
$317 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$57 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$57 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$277 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$199 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$125 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$141 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$604 ปริมาณ
17%
25°C
$356 ปริมาณ
51%
26°C
$696 ปริมาณ
25%
27°C or higher
$259 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models place Mexico City's September 13 high near 23–25 °C, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the late rainy season are limiting daytime heating at the city's high elevation, keeping afternoon maxima close to the September climatological average of about 25 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside potential if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus output and historical analogs over any outlier warmer runs, producing the observed concentration of probability between 24 °C and 26 °C. The final recorded maximum will be determined by official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations once the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models place Mexico City's September 13 high near 23–25 °C, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the late rainy season are limiting daytime heating at the city's high elevation, keeping afternoon maxima close to the September climatological average of about 25 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside potential if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus output and historical analogs over any outlier warmer runs, producing the observed concentration of probability between 24 °C and 26 °C. The final recorded maximum will be determined by official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations once the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,088วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from global models place Mexico City's September 13 high near 23–25 °C, aligning with the market's strong preference for 25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers associated with the late rainy season are limiting daytime heating at the city's high elevation, keeping afternoon maxima close to the September climatological average of about 25 °C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with only modest upside potential if breaks in cloud cover allow stronger insolation. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus output and historical analogs over any outlier warmer runs, producing the observed concentration of probability between 24 °C and 26 °C. The final recorded maximum will be determined by official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations once the 24-hour period closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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