Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas for a sunny, dry Sunday with a high temperature centered in the 100-101°F range, driving the dominant 63.5% market-implied probability. Persistent high pressure and southerly winds are expected to deliver clear skies with minimal cloud cover, enabling strong daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat indices above 105°F. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these conditions, with precipitation chances below 5% and no significant frontal activity anticipated before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical variance around early-September maxima near 90-100°F against the current stable pattern, while monitoring any final 12-24 hour forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service that could shift probabilities toward the 98-99°F or 102-103°F brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on September 13?
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 13?
100-101°F 64%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
64%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108°F or higher
2%
100-101°F 64%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 7%
96-97°F 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
89°F or below
$103 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$128 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$50 ปริมาณ
2%
94-95°F
$34 ปริมาณ
2%
96-97°F
$54 ปริมาณ
3%
98-99°F
$2,896 ปริมาณ
28%
100-101°F
$1,000 ปริมาณ
64%
102-103°F
$171 ปริมาณ
7%
104-105°F
$75 ปริมาณ
3%
106-107°F
$61 ปริมาณ
2%
108°F or higher
$218 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas for a sunny, dry Sunday with a high temperature centered in the 100-101°F range, driving the dominant 63.5% market-implied probability. Persistent high pressure and southerly winds are expected to deliver clear skies with minimal cloud cover, enabling strong daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat indices above 105°F. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these conditions, with precipitation chances below 5% and no significant frontal activity anticipated before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical variance around early-September maxima near 90-100°F against the current stable pattern, while monitoring any final 12-24 hour forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service that could shift probabilities toward the 98-99°F or 102-103°F brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,788วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas for a sunny, dry Sunday with a high temperature centered in the 100-101°F range, driving the dominant 63.5% market-implied probability. Persistent high pressure and southerly winds are expected to deliver clear skies with minimal cloud cover, enabling strong daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat indices above 105°F. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these conditions, with precipitation chances below 5% and no significant frontal activity anticipated before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical variance around early-September maxima near 90-100°F against the current stable pattern, while monitoring any final 12-24 hour forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service that could shift probabilities toward the 98-99°F or 102-103°F brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,788วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts position Dallas for a sunny, dry Sunday with a high temperature centered in the 100-101°F range, driving the dominant 63.5% market-implied probability. Persistent high pressure and southerly winds are expected to deliver clear skies with minimal cloud cover, enabling strong daytime heating amid typical late-summer humidity that elevates heat indices above 105°F. Recent model runs show little disagreement on these conditions, with precipitation chances below 5% and no significant frontal activity anticipated before resolution. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical variance around early-September maxima near 90-100°F against the current stable pattern, while monitoring any final 12-24 hour forecast adjustments from the National Weather Service that could shift probabilities toward the 98-99°F or 102-103°F brackets.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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