**Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11, driven by clearing skies after a cool southerly change on the 10th and moderate northwest winds that limit daytime warming in early spring.** Typical September maxima average around 15°C, but current surface observations and model runs show stable high pressure building with light winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping temperatures from exceeding the mid-teens. Trader consensus reflected in the 65% implied probability for 15°C and 28.5% for 14°C aligns with this guidance, while lower odds on 16°C or above account for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day warming. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 11?
15°C 68%
14°C 28%
16°C 5%
12°C 2%
ใหม่
$15,160 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,160 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
2%
13°C
2%
14°C
28%
15°C
68%
16°C
5%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 68%
14°C 28%
16°C 5%
12°C 2%
ใหม่
$15,160 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,160 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
9°C or below
$944 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$176 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$284 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$1,055 ปริมาณ
2%
13°C
$2,063 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$2,085 ปริมาณ
28%
15°C
$4,757 ปริมาณ
68%
16°C
$2,053 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C
$720 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$551 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C or higher
$471 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11, driven by clearing skies after a cool southerly change on the 10th and moderate northwest winds that limit daytime warming in early spring.** Typical September maxima average around 15°C, but current surface observations and model runs show stable high pressure building with light winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping temperatures from exceeding the mid-teens. Trader consensus reflected in the 65% implied probability for 15°C and 28.5% for 14°C aligns with this guidance, while lower odds on 16°C or above account for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day warming. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,160วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11, driven by clearing skies after a cool southerly change on the 10th and moderate northwest winds that limit daytime warming in early spring.** Typical September maxima average around 15°C, but current surface observations and model runs show stable high pressure building with light winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping temperatures from exceeding the mid-teens. Trader consensus reflected in the 65% implied probability for 15°C and 28.5% for 14°C aligns with this guidance, while lower odds on 16°C or above account for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day warming. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,160วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies including MetService and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicate a high near 13–14°C for Wellington on September 11, driven by clearing skies after a cool southerly change on the 10th and moderate northwest winds that limit daytime warming in early spring.** Typical September maxima average around 15°C, but current surface observations and model runs show stable high pressure building with light winds and minimal cloud cover, keeping temperatures from exceeding the mid-teens. Trader consensus reflected in the 65% implied probability for 15°C and 28.5% for 14°C aligns with this guidance, while lower odds on 16°C or above account for residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day warming. Updated model runs and official briefings expected overnight will provide the final inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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