**Mild overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low for London on September 11, 2026.** Official observations from stations such as London City Airport recorded early-morning temperatures holding at 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, while Met Office guidance and model consensus projected a diurnal minimum near this level rather than the seasonal average low of about 12°C. Stable high pressure and above-average warmth have prevented the stronger nocturnal drops typical in clearer, calmer anticyclonic setups. The implied probability above 99% reflects this tight observational agreement and the limited remaining hours in the calendar day. A realistic shift would require an abrupt, unforecasted surge in clear-sky longwave radiation loss or a sharp wind shift introducing colder air, neither of which current guidance supports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 11?
Lowest temperature in London on September 11?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$6,911 ปริมาณ
$6,911 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$6,911 ปริมาณ
$6,911 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
$40 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$50 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$40 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$40 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$318 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$2,160 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$2,808 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$1,281 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$70 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$50 ปริมาณ
No
20°C or higher
$55 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low for London on September 11, 2026.** Official observations from stations such as London City Airport recorded early-morning temperatures holding at 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, while Met Office guidance and model consensus projected a diurnal minimum near this level rather than the seasonal average low of about 12°C. Stable high pressure and above-average warmth have prevented the stronger nocturnal drops typical in clearer, calmer anticyclonic setups. The implied probability above 99% reflects this tight observational agreement and the limited remaining hours in the calendar day. A realistic shift would require an abrupt, unforecasted surge in clear-sky longwave radiation loss or a sharp wind shift introducing colder air, neither of which current guidance supports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,911วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low for London on September 11, 2026.** Official observations from stations such as London City Airport recorded early-morning temperatures holding at 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, while Met Office guidance and model consensus projected a diurnal minimum near this level rather than the seasonal average low of about 12°C. Stable high pressure and above-average warmth have prevented the stronger nocturnal drops typical in clearer, calmer anticyclonic setups. The implied probability above 99% reflects this tight observational agreement and the limited remaining hours in the calendar day. A realistic shift would require an abrupt, unforecasted surge in clear-sky longwave radiation loss or a sharp wind shift introducing colder air, neither of which current guidance supports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,911วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Mild overnight conditions with minimal radiative cooling have driven the near-certain market consensus around a 16°C low for London on September 11, 2026.** Official observations from stations such as London City Airport recorded early-morning temperatures holding at 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, while Met Office guidance and model consensus projected a diurnal minimum near this level rather than the seasonal average low of about 12°C. Stable high pressure and above-average warmth have prevented the stronger nocturnal drops typical in clearer, calmer anticyclonic setups. The implied probability above 99% reflects this tight observational agreement and the limited remaining hours in the calendar day. A realistic shift would require an abrupt, unforecasted surge in clear-sky longwave radiation loss or a sharp wind shift introducing colder air, neither of which current guidance supports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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