Current forecast models from the Met Office and GFS runs point to an overnight low of 18–19 °C in London on September 13, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow, extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light rain that maintains warmer boundary-layer temperatures. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (57.5 %) and 19 °C (34 %), well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 12 °C. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread in minimum-temperature guidance, with any downward revision likely requiring clearer skies or a sharper northerly wind shift that has not yet appeared in official updates. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome close to the latest ensemble guidance, with resolution hinging on the final 00:00–06:00 UTC readings at representative London stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 13?
Lowest temperature in London on September 13?
18°C 59%
19°C 33%
17°C 9%
20°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
9%
18°C
59%
19°C
33%
20°C
5%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 59%
19°C 33%
17°C 9%
20°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$55 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$213 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$1,884 ปริมาณ
9%
18°C
$1,488 ปริมาณ
59%
19°C
$891 ปริมาณ
33%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
21°C
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$155 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and GFS runs point to an overnight low of 18–19 °C in London on September 13, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow, extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light rain that maintains warmer boundary-layer temperatures. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (57.5 %) and 19 °C (34 %), well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 12 °C. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread in minimum-temperature guidance, with any downward revision likely requiring clearer skies or a sharper northerly wind shift that has not yet appeared in official updates. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome close to the latest ensemble guidance, with resolution hinging on the final 00:00–06:00 UTC readings at representative London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,163วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and GFS runs point to an overnight low of 18–19 °C in London on September 13, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow, extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light rain that maintains warmer boundary-layer temperatures. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (57.5 %) and 19 °C (34 %), well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 12 °C. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread in minimum-temperature guidance, with any downward revision likely requiring clearer skies or a sharper northerly wind shift that has not yet appeared in official updates. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome close to the latest ensemble guidance, with resolution hinging on the final 00:00–06:00 UTC readings at representative London stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,163วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Met Office and GFS runs point to an overnight low of 18–19 °C in London on September 13, driven by a mild southwesterly airflow, extensive cloud cover limiting radiative cooling, and light rain that maintains warmer boundary-layer temperatures. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 18 °C (57.5 %) and 19 °C (34 %), well above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of roughly 12 °C. Recent model consensus shows minimal spread in minimum-temperature guidance, with any downward revision likely requiring clearer skies or a sharper northerly wind shift that has not yet appeared in official updates. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome close to the latest ensemble guidance, with resolution hinging on the final 00:00–06:00 UTC readings at representative London stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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