Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms from tropical moisture are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong, anchoring the daily minimum temperature near 25–27°C according to consensus forecasts. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes at 27°C (39% implied probability) and 26°C (29.5%), as thick stratiform clouds and light easterly winds suppress temperature drops below typical September nocturnal baselines. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–27°C probabilities hinges on exact rainfall timing and cloud breaks overnight, which official Hong Kong Observatory updates and model runs will clarify as the day progresses. Historical September minima average around 24–25°C under clearer conditions, underscoring how current atmospheric moisture elevates the floor.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
27°C 40%
25°C 31%
26°C 27%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
$12,612 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,612 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
31%
26°C
27%
27°C
40%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 40%
25°C 31%
26°C 27%
24°C 9%
ใหม่
$12,612 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,612 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
22°C or below
$739 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$1,207 ปริมาณ
7%
24°C
$1,990 ปริมาณ
9%
25°C
$2,310 ปริมาณ
31%
26°C
$1,691 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$3,968 ปริมาณ
40%
28°C
$446 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$152 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$77 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$77 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$77 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms from tropical moisture are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong, anchoring the daily minimum temperature near 25–27°C according to consensus forecasts. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes at 27°C (39% implied probability) and 26°C (29.5%), as thick stratiform clouds and light easterly winds suppress temperature drops below typical September nocturnal baselines. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–27°C probabilities hinges on exact rainfall timing and cloud breaks overnight, which official Hong Kong Observatory updates and model runs will clarify as the day progresses. Historical September minima average around 24–25°C under clearer conditions, underscoring how current atmospheric moisture elevates the floor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,612วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms from tropical moisture are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong, anchoring the daily minimum temperature near 25–27°C according to consensus forecasts. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes at 27°C (39% implied probability) and 26°C (29.5%), as thick stratiform clouds and light easterly winds suppress temperature drops below typical September nocturnal baselines. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–27°C probabilities hinges on exact rainfall timing and cloud breaks overnight, which official Hong Kong Observatory updates and model runs will clarify as the day progresses. Historical September minima average around 24–25°C under clearer conditions, underscoring how current atmospheric moisture elevates the floor.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,612วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms from tropical moisture are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Hong Kong, anchoring the daily minimum temperature near 25–27°C according to consensus forecasts. This setup favors the market's leading outcomes at 27°C (39% implied probability) and 26°C (29.5%), as thick stratiform clouds and light easterly winds suppress temperature drops below typical September nocturnal baselines. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 25–27°C probabilities hinges on exact rainfall timing and cloud breaks overnight, which official Hong Kong Observatory updates and model runs will clarify as the day progresses. Historical September minima average around 24–25°C under clearer conditions, underscoring how current atmospheric moisture elevates the floor.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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