Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,649 ปริมาณ
$24,649 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$24,649 ปริมาณ
$24,649 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$249 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$754 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$2,268 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,051 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$3,091 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$5,839 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C
$5,895 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,818 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$24 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$618 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$40 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,649วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,649วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm an absolute daily minimum of 26°C on September 14, 2026, driving the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent high humidity levels above 80%, variable cloud cover, and light easterly winds suppressed overnight radiative cooling in this subtropical environment, consistent with typical early-autumn conditions where minimum temperatures rarely fall below seasonal baselines near 25–27°C. Ensemble model guidance had shown limited downside risk to 24–25°C under clearer skies, yet moisture and urban heat effects anchored readings at or above 26°C at the reference station. Resolution hinges on finalized observatory data, with any post-processing revision representing the primary, albeit low-probability, scenario that could shift the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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