Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance places Austin’s September 17 high in the upper 90s, with consensus values clustered between 96–99 °F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 15–30 % chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Easterly flow and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit peak insolation, while any convective development could further suppress temperatures by reducing surface heating and enhancing mixing. These factors create the near-even split between the 96–97 °F and 98–99 °F bins, as modest differences in storm timing or coverage could shift the daily maximum across the 98 °F threshold. Historical late-September climatology for central Texas shows similar variability when Gulf moisture interacts with weak steering patterns, underscoring the sensitivity of the final observed high to short-term mesoscale evolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 17?
96-97°F 39%
98-99°F 39%
94-95°F 12%
100-101°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
39%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
6%
102-103°F
2%
104°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 39%
98-99°F 39%
94-95°F 12%
100-101°F 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
85°F or below
$180 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$90 ปริมาณ
1%
90-91°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$105 ปริมาณ
2%
94-95°F
$292 ปริมาณ
12%
96-97°F
$185 ปริมาณ
39%
98-99°F
$171 ปริมาณ
39%
100-101°F
$211 ปริมาณ
6%
102-103°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
104°F or higher
$759 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance places Austin’s September 17 high in the upper 90s, with consensus values clustered between 96–99 °F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 15–30 % chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Easterly flow and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit peak insolation, while any convective development could further suppress temperatures by reducing surface heating and enhancing mixing. These factors create the near-even split between the 96–97 °F and 98–99 °F bins, as modest differences in storm timing or coverage could shift the daily maximum across the 98 °F threshold. Historical late-September climatology for central Texas shows similar variability when Gulf moisture interacts with weak steering patterns, underscoring the sensitivity of the final observed high to short-term mesoscale evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,061วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance places Austin’s September 17 high in the upper 90s, with consensus values clustered between 96–99 °F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 15–30 % chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Easterly flow and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit peak insolation, while any convective development could further suppress temperatures by reducing surface heating and enhancing mixing. These factors create the near-even split between the 96–97 °F and 98–99 °F bins, as modest differences in storm timing or coverage could shift the daily maximum across the 98 °F threshold. Historical late-September climatology for central Texas shows similar variability when Gulf moisture interacts with weak steering patterns, underscoring the sensitivity of the final observed high to short-term mesoscale evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,061วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance places Austin’s September 17 high in the upper 90s, with consensus values clustered between 96–99 °F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 15–30 % chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. Easterly flow and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit peak insolation, while any convective development could further suppress temperatures by reducing surface heating and enhancing mixing. These factors create the near-even split between the 96–97 °F and 98–99 °F bins, as modest differences in storm timing or coverage could shift the daily maximum across the 98 °F threshold. Historical late-September climatology for central Texas shows similar variability when Gulf moisture interacts with weak steering patterns, underscoring the sensitivity of the final observed high to short-term mesoscale evolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย