Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 25–28°C for Wuhan on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northeast winds that limit daytime heating while a weak frontal boundary approaches. These conditions suppress solar radiation and introduce modest moisture, keeping maximum temperatures below late-summer averages and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Traders weigh ensemble guidance showing slight variations in timing of any showers, which could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on exact cloud thickness and wind speed. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify whether the high settles near 25°C or edges higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 16?
25°C 34%
26°C 27%
27°C 25%
28°C 13%
ใหม่
$20,931 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,931 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
34%
26°C
27%
27°C
25%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 34%
26°C 27%
27°C 25%
28°C 13%
ใหม่
$20,931 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,931 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
22°C or below
$1,280 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$2,311 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,310 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$2,628 ปริมาณ
34%
26°C
$2,973 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$2,679 ปริมาณ
25%
28°C
$2,885 ปริมาณ
13%
29°C
$1,700 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$1,970 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$1,001 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$194 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 25–28°C for Wuhan on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northeast winds that limit daytime heating while a weak frontal boundary approaches. These conditions suppress solar radiation and introduce modest moisture, keeping maximum temperatures below late-summer averages and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Traders weigh ensemble guidance showing slight variations in timing of any showers, which could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on exact cloud thickness and wind speed. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify whether the high settles near 25°C or edges higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,931วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 25–28°C for Wuhan on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northeast winds that limit daytime heating while a weak frontal boundary approaches. These conditions suppress solar radiation and introduce modest moisture, keeping maximum temperatures below late-summer averages and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Traders weigh ensemble guidance showing slight variations in timing of any showers, which could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on exact cloud thickness and wind speed. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify whether the high settles near 25°C or edges higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,931วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high near 25–28°C for Wuhan on September 16, driven by persistent cloud cover and light northeast winds that limit daytime heating while a weak frontal boundary approaches. These conditions suppress solar radiation and introduce modest moisture, keeping maximum temperatures below late-summer averages and explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Traders weigh ensemble guidance showing slight variations in timing of any showers, which could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C depending on exact cloud thickness and wind speed. Updated runs expected overnight will clarify whether the high settles near 25°C or edges higher.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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