Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 73–77°F for Seattle on September 17 under clear skies and light northerly flow, positioning the 74–75°F bin as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. This reflects recent runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 70s, with minor spread allowing 76–77°F a 27% share. The outlook exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 70.3°F due to persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming marine layer or frontal shift. Final model updates and real-time observations before evening will refine the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seattle on September 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 17?
74-75°F 53%
76-77°F 28%
72-73°F 10%
78-79°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
53%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 53%
76-77°F 28%
72-73°F 10%
78-79°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
65°F or below
$33 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$48 ปริมาณ
2%
68-69°F
$132 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$393 ปริมาณ
4%
72-73°F
$844 ปริมาณ
10%
74-75°F
$442 ปริมาณ
53%
76-77°F
$462 ปริมาณ
28%
78-79°F
$115 ปริมาณ
5%
80-81°F
$23 ปริมาณ
1%
82-83°F
$23 ปริมาณ
1%
84°F or higher
$1,039 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 73–77°F for Seattle on September 17 under clear skies and light northerly flow, positioning the 74–75°F bin as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. This reflects recent runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 70s, with minor spread allowing 76–77°F a 27% share. The outlook exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 70.3°F due to persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming marine layer or frontal shift. Final model updates and real-time observations before evening will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,557วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 7:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 73–77°F for Seattle on September 17 under clear skies and light northerly flow, positioning the 74–75°F bin as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. This reflects recent runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 70s, with minor spread allowing 76–77°F a 27% share. The outlook exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 70.3°F due to persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming marine layer or frontal shift. Final model updates and real-time observations before evening will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,557วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 7:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high of 73–77°F for Seattle on September 17 under clear skies and light northerly flow, positioning the 74–75°F bin as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. This reflects recent runs showing peak afternoon temperatures in the low-to-mid 70s, with minor spread allowing 76–77°F a 27% share. The outlook exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 70.3°F due to persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, while lower bins remain discounted absent any incoming marine layer or frontal shift. Final model updates and real-time observations before evening will refine the exact maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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