Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Official guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with precipitation probabilities of 45–70%, consistent with the current moist, unstable air mass over Sichuan that has produced below-average highs in recent days. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud thickness and timing of showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects the narrow historical range for mid-September and the short lead time before resolution, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the expected peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16?
25°C 26%
24°C 21%
26°C 20%
23°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
3%
21°C
4%
22°C
9%
23°C
13%
24°C
21%
25°C
26%
26°C
20%
27°C
9%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 26%
24°C 21%
26°C 20%
23°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$100 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$30 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
26°C
$25 ปริมาณ
20%
27°C
$33 ปริมาณ
9%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Official guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with precipitation probabilities of 45–70%, consistent with the current moist, unstable air mass over Sichuan that has produced below-average highs in recent days. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud thickness and timing of showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects the narrow historical range for mid-September and the short lead time before resolution, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$189วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Official guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with precipitation probabilities of 45–70%, consistent with the current moist, unstable air mass over Sichuan that has produced below-average highs in recent days. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud thickness and timing of showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects the narrow historical range for mid-September and the short lead time before resolution, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$189วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 16 likely between 23–25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered rainfall that limit daytime solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Official guidance highlights mostly cloudy skies with precipitation probabilities of 45–70%, consistent with the current moist, unstable air mass over Sichuan that has produced below-average highs in recent days. Model spreads arise from differences in predicted cloud thickness and timing of showers, which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Trader consensus around these central outcomes reflects the narrow historical range for mid-September and the short lead time before resolution, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside typical late-summer variability. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the expected peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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