Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 16, 2026, call for a maximum of 27–31°C under generally fine conditions with moderate easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale and low rain probability, reflecting the influence of a northeast monsoon that has moderated recent daytime heating after September 15 peaked near 32°C. These parameters position 31°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 31°C and current model consensus showing limited potential for stronger warming or cooling. The resolution will use the observatory’s finalized daily maximum, with any last-minute forecast revisions from updated model runs or observations likely to shift sentiment most directly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
31°C 43%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
10%
30°C
25%
31°C
43%
32°C
20%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 25%
32°C 20%
29°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$684 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$251 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$524 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$344 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$393 ปริมาณ
10%
30°C
$880 ปริมาณ
25%
31°C
$1,727 ปริมาณ
43%
32°C
$836 ปริมาณ
20%
33°C
$346 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C
$199 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C or higher
$128 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 16, 2026, call for a maximum of 27–31°C under generally fine conditions with moderate easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale and low rain probability, reflecting the influence of a northeast monsoon that has moderated recent daytime heating after September 15 peaked near 32°C. These parameters position 31°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 31°C and current model consensus showing limited potential for stronger warming or cooling. The resolution will use the observatory’s finalized daily maximum, with any last-minute forecast revisions from updated model runs or observations likely to shift sentiment most directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,940วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 16, 2026, call for a maximum of 27–31°C under generally fine conditions with moderate easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale and low rain probability, reflecting the influence of a northeast monsoon that has moderated recent daytime heating after September 15 peaked near 32°C. These parameters position 31°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 31°C and current model consensus showing limited potential for stronger warming or cooling. The resolution will use the observatory’s finalized daily maximum, with any last-minute forecast revisions from updated model runs or observations likely to shift sentiment most directly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,940วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for September 16, 2026, call for a maximum of 27–31°C under generally fine conditions with moderate easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale and low rain probability, reflecting the influence of a northeast monsoon that has moderated recent daytime heating after September 15 peaked near 32°C. These parameters position 31°C as the market leader at 42.5% implied probability, followed by 30°C and 32°C, consistent with climatological September averages near 31°C and current model consensus showing limited potential for stronger warming or cooling. The resolution will use the observatory’s finalized daily maximum, with any last-minute forecast revisions from updated model runs or observations likely to shift sentiment most directly.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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