**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17 most likely between 24–26°C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered rain.** Recent days have featured overcast skies and precipitation from a moist southwesterly flow typical of mid-September in the Sichuan basin, suppressing daytime solar heating and limiting warming. Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, show highs clustered in the mid-20s with 40–70% rain chances and light winds, consistent with historical averages near 25°C for the date. The closely matched market probabilities around 24–27°C reflect this narrow range and genuine uncertainty in exact peak values, driven by variables like timing of any clearing or localized showers. New model runs and observational updates in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution by official station data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 17?
26°C 38%
25°C 23%
27°C 22%
24°C 12%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
23%
26°C
38%
27°C
22%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 38%
25°C 23%
27°C 22%
24°C 12%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
23%
26°C
38%
27°C
22%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17 most likely between 24–26°C amid persistent cloud cover and scattered rain.** Recent days have featured overcast skies and precipitation from a moist southwesterly flow typical of mid-September in the Sichuan basin, suppressing daytime solar heating and limiting warming. Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, show highs clustered in the mid-20s with 40–70% rain chances and light winds, consistent with historical averages near 25°C for the date. The closely matched market probabilities around 24–27°C reflect this narrow range and genuine uncertainty in exact peak values, driven by variables like timing of any clearing or localized showers. New model runs and observational updates in the next 48 hours will likely tighten the consensus ahead of market resolution by official station data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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