Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest diurnal rise in São Paulo on September 17 amid persistent overcast skies and easterly flow, with peak readings most likely between 16–19 °C. Persistent cloud cover and moderate southeast winds are limiting daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures well below the September climatological average of roughly 23–25 °C. Ensemble guidance shows only small differences in the timing and extent of any partial clearing, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–19 °C. Updated runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and regional models expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolving the precise maximum before local sunset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 17?
18°C 39%
19°C 26%
17°C 23%
20°C 4%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
23%
18°C
39%
19°C
26%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 39%
19°C 26%
17°C 23%
20°C 4%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
23%
18°C
39%
19°C
26%
20°C
4%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest diurnal rise in São Paulo on September 17 amid persistent overcast skies and easterly flow, with peak readings most likely between 16–19 °C. Persistent cloud cover and moderate southeast winds are limiting daytime heating, keeping surface temperatures well below the September climatological average of roughly 23–25 °C. Ensemble guidance shows only small differences in the timing and extent of any partial clearing, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 17–19 °C. Updated runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and regional models expected overnight will provide the next key data points for resolving the precise maximum before local sunset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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