**Current forecast models indicate a mild overnight low for Buenos Aires on September 18, with consensus pointing to 13–15°C driven by northerly flow and reduced radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover.** This setup follows cooler conditions earlier in the month and reflects springtime warming trends, though the closely matched market odds around 48% for 8°C or below versus 18°C or higher highlight genuine uncertainty in model runs. Small shifts in wind direction, timing of frontal passages, or boundary-layer moisture could alter minimum temperatures by several degrees, as seen in recent GFS and ECMWF variability for the region. Historical September lows average near 10–12°C, making the current outlook milder than baseline but still sensitive to late adjustments before resolution. Traders will watch updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours for clearer signals on whether conditions trend cooler or warmer than expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 18?
8°C or below 96%
18°C or higher 96%
9°C 87%
11°C 87%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
8°C or below
96%
9°C
87%
10°C
40%
11°C
87%
12°C
87%
13°C
21%
14°C
87%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C or higher
96%
8°C or below 96%
18°C or higher 96%
9°C 87%
11°C 87%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
8°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
96%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
87%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
87%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
87%
13°C
$7 ปริมาณ
21%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
87%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
18°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate a mild overnight low for Buenos Aires on September 18, with consensus pointing to 13–15°C driven by northerly flow and reduced radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover.**
This setup follows cooler conditions earlier in the month and reflects springtime warming trends, though the closely matched market odds around 48% for 8°C or below versus 18°C or higher highlight genuine uncertainty in model runs. Small shifts in wind direction, timing of frontal passages, or boundary-layer moisture could alter minimum temperatures by several degrees, as seen in recent GFS and ECMWF variability for the region. Historical September lows average near 10–12°C, making the current outlook milder than baseline but still sensitive to late adjustments before resolution. Traders will watch updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours for clearer signals on whether conditions trend cooler or warmer than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate a mild overnight low for Buenos Aires on September 18, with consensus pointing to 13–15°C driven by northerly flow and reduced radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover.**
This setup follows cooler conditions earlier in the month and reflects springtime warming trends, though the closely matched market odds around 48% for 8°C or below versus 18°C or higher highlight genuine uncertainty in model runs. Small shifts in wind direction, timing of frontal passages, or boundary-layer moisture could alter minimum temperatures by several degrees, as seen in recent GFS and ECMWF variability for the region. Historical September lows average near 10–12°C, making the current outlook milder than baseline but still sensitive to late adjustments before resolution. Traders will watch updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours for clearer signals on whether conditions trend cooler or warmer than expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models indicate a mild overnight low for Buenos Aires on September 18, with consensus pointing to 13–15°C driven by northerly flow and reduced radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover.** This setup follows cooler conditions earlier in the month and reflects springtime warming trends, though the closely matched market odds around 48% for 8°C or below versus 18°C or higher highlight genuine uncertainty in model runs. Small shifts in wind direction, timing of frontal passages, or boundary-layer moisture could alter minimum temperatures by several degrees, as seen in recent GFS and ECMWF variability for the region. Historical September lows average near 10–12°C, making the current outlook milder than baseline but still sensitive to late adjustments before resolution. Traders will watch updated model guidance and local observations over the next 48 hours for clearer signals on whether conditions trend cooler or warmer than expected.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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