Recent forecast model runs, including GFS outputs, indicate Munich's maximum temperature on September 16 will likely peak near 25–26°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit surface heating. These conditions, driven by a passing low-pressure system and associated moisture, suppress solar insolation compared to clearer anticyclonic setups, keeping values well above the 19.6°C climatological average high yet below historical September extremes near 30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 43% and 30% probabilities for 26°C and 25°C aligns with this model consensus and the ongoing precipitation risk, which could further cap afternoon readings depending on timing and intensity. Updated observations through midday will refine resolution as skies remain mostly overcast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 16?
26°C 45%
25°C 30%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
$44,673 ปริมาณ
$44,673 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
30%
26°C
45%
27°C
18%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 45%
25°C 30%
27°C 18%
24°C 9%
$44,673 ปริมาณ
$44,673 ปริมาณ
Sep 16, 2026
23°C or below
$3,450 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$11,109 ปริมาณ
9%
25°C
$6,010 ปริมาณ
30%
26°C
$5,897 ปริมาณ
45%
27°C
$7,846 ปริมาณ
18%
28°C
$3,886 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$810 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$225 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$2,369 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$1,507 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,564 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs, including GFS outputs, indicate Munich's maximum temperature on September 16 will likely peak near 25–26°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit surface heating. These conditions, driven by a passing low-pressure system and associated moisture, suppress solar insolation compared to clearer anticyclonic setups, keeping values well above the 19.6°C climatological average high yet below historical September extremes near 30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 43% and 30% probabilities for 26°C and 25°C aligns with this model consensus and the ongoing precipitation risk, which could further cap afternoon readings depending on timing and intensity. Updated observations through midday will refine resolution as skies remain mostly overcast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,673วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs, including GFS outputs, indicate Munich's maximum temperature on September 16 will likely peak near 25–26°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit surface heating. These conditions, driven by a passing low-pressure system and associated moisture, suppress solar insolation compared to clearer anticyclonic setups, keeping values well above the 19.6°C climatological average high yet below historical September extremes near 30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 43% and 30% probabilities for 26°C and 25°C aligns with this model consensus and the ongoing precipitation risk, which could further cap afternoon readings depending on timing and intensity. Updated observations through midday will refine resolution as skies remain mostly overcast.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$44,673วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs, including GFS outputs, indicate Munich's maximum temperature on September 16 will likely peak near 25–26°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit surface heating. These conditions, driven by a passing low-pressure system and associated moisture, suppress solar insolation compared to clearer anticyclonic setups, keeping values well above the 19.6°C climatological average high yet below historical September extremes near 30°C. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 43% and 30% probabilities for 26°C and 25°C aligns with this model consensus and the ongoing precipitation risk, which could further cap afternoon readings depending on timing and intensity. Updated observations through midday will refine resolution as skies remain mostly overcast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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