Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF consensus place Amsterdam’s September 18 maximum near 18–19 °C under a west-to-southwest flow with moderate cloud cover and limited insolation. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 70 % implied probability for 19 °C and secondary 22.5 % weighting for 18 °C, reflecting the narrow range typical for late-September maritime air masses. Historical averages for the date hover around 18.9 °C, and no significant model runs have shifted the outlook in the past 48 hours. Traders are therefore pricing in high confidence that the observed high will fall within this two-degree band, with only small probabilities assigned to outliers driven by unexpected clearing or stronger advection.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
19°C 63%
18°C 34%
20°C 4%
17°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
34%
19°C
63%
20°C
4%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 63%
18°C 34%
20°C 4%
17°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
$149 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$149 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$229 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$154 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$571 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$1,102 ปริมาณ
34%
19°C
$2,311 ปริมาณ
63%
20°C
$695 ปริมาณ
4%
21°C
$264 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$149 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C or higher
$536 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF consensus place Amsterdam’s September 18 maximum near 18–19 °C under a west-to-southwest flow with moderate cloud cover and limited insolation. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 70 % implied probability for 19 °C and secondary 22.5 % weighting for 18 °C, reflecting the narrow range typical for late-September maritime air masses. Historical averages for the date hover around 18.9 °C, and no significant model runs have shifted the outlook in the past 48 hours. Traders are therefore pricing in high confidence that the observed high will fall within this two-degree band, with only small probabilities assigned to outliers driven by unexpected clearing or stronger advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,309วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF consensus place Amsterdam’s September 18 maximum near 18–19 °C under a west-to-southwest flow with moderate cloud cover and limited insolation. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 70 % implied probability for 19 °C and secondary 22.5 % weighting for 18 °C, reflecting the narrow range typical for late-September maritime air masses. Historical averages for the date hover around 18.9 °C, and no significant model runs have shifted the outlook in the past 48 hours. Traders are therefore pricing in high confidence that the observed high will fall within this two-degree band, with only small probabilities assigned to outliers driven by unexpected clearing or stronger advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,309วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF consensus place Amsterdam’s September 18 maximum near 18–19 °C under a west-to-southwest flow with moderate cloud cover and limited insolation. These conditions align with the market’s dominant 70 % implied probability for 19 °C and secondary 22.5 % weighting for 18 °C, reflecting the narrow range typical for late-September maritime air masses. Historical averages for the date hover around 18.9 °C, and no significant model runs have shifted the outlook in the past 48 hours. Traders are therefore pricing in high confidence that the observed high will fall within this two-degree band, with only small probabilities assigned to outliers driven by unexpected clearing or stronger advection.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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