Trader consensus in this Amsterdam minimum temperature market clusters tightly around 11–13°C due to modest forecast spread in official model guidance for nocturnal cooling on September 18. Variable cloud cover overnight limits radiative heat loss, while moderate southwesterly winds promote mixing that prevents sharper drops below the seasonal average low near 11°C. Dew points around 10–12°C and surface pressure near 1014 hPa further stabilize temperatures, with any increase in low-level cloud or wind gusts favoring the higher end of the range and clearer intervals supporting the lower. Recent model runs show only small shifts in these variables, sustaining the narrow probability band among the top three outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
11°C 49%
12°C 48%
13°C 47%
10°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
8%
11°C
49%
12°C
48%
13°C
47%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 49%
12°C 48%
13°C 47%
10°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
7°C or below
$16 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$35 ปริมาณ
8%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
13°C
$21 ปริมาณ
47%
14°C
$428 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$67 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$62 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C or higher
$62 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Amsterdam minimum temperature market clusters tightly around 11–13°C due to modest forecast spread in official model guidance for nocturnal cooling on September 18. Variable cloud cover overnight limits radiative heat loss, while moderate southwesterly winds promote mixing that prevents sharper drops below the seasonal average low near 11°C. Dew points around 10–12°C and surface pressure near 1014 hPa further stabilize temperatures, with any increase in low-level cloud or wind gusts favoring the higher end of the range and clearer intervals supporting the lower. Recent model runs show only small shifts in these variables, sustaining the narrow probability band among the top three outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$691วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this Amsterdam minimum temperature market clusters tightly around 11–13°C due to modest forecast spread in official model guidance for nocturnal cooling on September 18. Variable cloud cover overnight limits radiative heat loss, while moderate southwesterly winds promote mixing that prevents sharper drops below the seasonal average low near 11°C. Dew points around 10–12°C and surface pressure near 1014 hPa further stabilize temperatures, with any increase in low-level cloud or wind gusts favoring the higher end of the range and clearer intervals supporting the lower. Recent model runs show only small shifts in these variables, sustaining the narrow probability band among the top three outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$691วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this Amsterdam minimum temperature market clusters tightly around 11–13°C due to modest forecast spread in official model guidance for nocturnal cooling on September 18. Variable cloud cover overnight limits radiative heat loss, while moderate southwesterly winds promote mixing that prevents sharper drops below the seasonal average low near 11°C. Dew points around 10–12°C and surface pressure near 1014 hPa further stabilize temperatures, with any increase in low-level cloud or wind gusts favoring the higher end of the range and clearer intervals supporting the lower. Recent model runs show only small shifts in these variables, sustaining the narrow probability band among the top three outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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