Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical guidance currently converge on a daily high of 28–30°C for Shanghai on September 18, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 29°C. Light northerly to northeasterly winds, mostly cloudy skies, and modest moisture levels are expected to limit stronger daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from August peaks. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze onset could nudge the observed maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide additional context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 18?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 18?
29°C 48%
28°C 35%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
ใหม่
$14,240 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,240 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
35%
29°C
48%
30°C
16%
31°C
3%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 35%
30°C 16%
31°C 3%
ใหม่
$14,240 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,240 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
24°C or below
$167 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,193 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$489 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$1,798 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$4,449 ปริมาณ
35%
29°C
$2,784 ปริมาณ
48%
30°C
$1,200 ปริมาณ
16%
31°C
$868 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C
$770 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$389 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$133 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical guidance currently converge on a daily high of 28–30°C for Shanghai on September 18, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 29°C. Light northerly to northeasterly winds, mostly cloudy skies, and modest moisture levels are expected to limit stronger daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from August peaks. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze onset could nudge the observed maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide additional context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,240วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical guidance currently converge on a daily high of 28–30°C for Shanghai on September 18, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 29°C. Light northerly to northeasterly winds, mostly cloudy skies, and modest moisture levels are expected to limit stronger daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from August peaks. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze onset could nudge the observed maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide additional context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,240วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and regional numerical guidance currently converge on a daily high of 28–30°C for Shanghai on September 18, supporting the market’s heaviest weighting toward 29°C. Light northerly to northeasterly winds, mostly cloudy skies, and modest moisture levels are expected to limit stronger daytime heating while preventing significant cooling, consistent with the late-summer climatological decline from August peaks. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around this range, though small timing shifts in cloud cover or sea-breeze onset could nudge the observed maximum by 1°C. Historical September averages near 28–29°C provide additional context for the tight clustering of implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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