Forecast models from sources including GFS and European centers indicate clear skies, light variable winds shifting southeast, and minimal cloud cover for Madrid on September 19, supporting surface heating under stable high pressure. This setup favors a daily maximum near 28–29 °C, above the long-term September 19 average of roughly 25.7 °C, with dry air and light northeast flow overnight limiting cooling. Recent observations show the region already running several degrees above normal amid a prolonged dry spell, reinforcing model consensus for modest warming without significant advection or instability. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 29 °C, reflecting traders’ weighting of this short-range forecast reliability and low expected variance before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on September 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 19?
29°C 61%
30°C 34%
28°C 8%
31°C <1%
ใหม่
$15,176 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,176 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
61%
30°C
34%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 61%
30°C 34%
28°C 8%
31°C <1%
ใหม่
$15,176 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,176 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
24°C or below
$1,282 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,183 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$151 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$181 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,244 ปริมาณ
8%
29°C
$4,435 ปริมาณ
61%
30°C
$4,499 ปริมาณ
34%
31°C
$973 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$185 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$944 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and European centers indicate clear skies, light variable winds shifting southeast, and minimal cloud cover for Madrid on September 19, supporting surface heating under stable high pressure. This setup favors a daily maximum near 28–29 °C, above the long-term September 19 average of roughly 25.7 °C, with dry air and light northeast flow overnight limiting cooling. Recent observations show the region already running several degrees above normal amid a prolonged dry spell, reinforcing model consensus for modest warming without significant advection or instability. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 29 °C, reflecting traders’ weighting of this short-range forecast reliability and low expected variance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,176วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS and European centers indicate clear skies, light variable winds shifting southeast, and minimal cloud cover for Madrid on September 19, supporting surface heating under stable high pressure. This setup favors a daily maximum near 28–29 °C, above the long-term September 19 average of roughly 25.7 °C, with dry air and light northeast flow overnight limiting cooling. Recent observations show the region already running several degrees above normal amid a prolonged dry spell, reinforcing model consensus for modest warming without significant advection or instability. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 29 °C, reflecting traders’ weighting of this short-range forecast reliability and low expected variance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,176วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS and European centers indicate clear skies, light variable winds shifting southeast, and minimal cloud cover for Madrid on September 19, supporting surface heating under stable high pressure. This setup favors a daily maximum near 28–29 °C, above the long-term September 19 average of roughly 25.7 °C, with dry air and light northeast flow overnight limiting cooling. Recent observations show the region already running several degrees above normal amid a prolonged dry spell, reinforcing model consensus for modest warming without significant advection or instability. Market-implied probabilities heavily favor 29 °C, reflecting traders’ weighting of this short-range forecast reliability and low expected variance before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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