Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a most likely daily maximum near 32°C for Singapore on September 18, consistent with prevailing southwest monsoon flow and moderate El Niño conditions that favor above-average temperatures across the region. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms—expected with 40-60% probability—typically cap afternoon peaks by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation, limiting upside to 33°C or higher while supporting downside risk toward 31°C. Historical September averages near 31.6°C and current observational trends of 30-33°C highs provide context, with resolution hinging on official Meteorological Service Singapore measurements at the reference station. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on September 18?
32°C 50%
33°C 40%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
50%
33°C
31%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
33°C 40%
31°C 20%
30°C 7%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
7%
31°C
20%
32°C
50%
33°C
31%
34°C
6%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a most likely daily maximum near 32°C for Singapore on September 18, consistent with prevailing southwest monsoon flow and moderate El Niño conditions that favor above-average temperatures across the region. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms—expected with 40-60% probability—typically cap afternoon peaks by enhancing mixing and reducing insolation, limiting upside to 33°C or higher while supporting downside risk toward 31°C. Historical September averages near 31.6°C and current observational trends of 30-33°C highs provide context, with resolution hinging on official Meteorological Service Singapore measurements at the reference station. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours represent the key near-term catalysts for any shift in market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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