Singapore's National Environment Agency forecast and supporting numerical weather models from regional centers indicate a maximum of 33°C on September 16, driving the 80.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Equatorial conditions with moderate cloud cover and light winds are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing the typical nocturnal cooling that could drop the peak to 32°C. Recent model consensus shows little spread around this value, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima average near 31–32°C but can edge higher under suppressed convection. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates and any rapid changes in moisture or wind patterns that could shift the peak by 1°C, though such revisions are uncommon this close to the verification period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Singapore on September 16?
33°C 83%
32°C 14%
31°C 4%
34°C 3%
$20,100 ปริมาณ
$20,100 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
83%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 83%
32°C 14%
31°C 4%
34°C 3%
$20,100 ปริมาณ
$20,100 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
14%
33°C
83%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's National Environment Agency forecast and supporting numerical weather models from regional centers indicate a maximum of 33°C on September 16, driving the 80.5% market-implied probability for that outcome. Equatorial conditions with moderate cloud cover and light winds are expected to limit daytime heating while preventing the typical nocturnal cooling that could drop the peak to 32°C. Recent model consensus shows little spread around this value, consistent with September climatology where daily maxima average near 31–32°C but can edge higher under suppressed convection. Traders are monitoring the final 24-hour model updates and any rapid changes in moisture or wind patterns that could shift the peak by 1°C, though such revisions are uncommon this close to the verification period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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