Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological services points to a minimum temperature near 13°C in São Paulo overnight into September 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure suppressing significant cooling or warming. Hourly observations show temperatures stabilizing around 13–14°C in the pre-dawn hours after daytime highs near 18°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows reach 12°C but recent dry conditions have limited further nocturnal drops. Trader emphasis on the 13°C outcome reflects this narrow range in updated model runs, with lower probabilities for 12°C or below tied to any unexpected radiative cooling or 11°C thresholds requiring stronger high-pressure persistence. New observational data from surface stations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 17?
11°C 48%
10°C 14%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
14%
11°C
48%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
11°C 48%
10°C 14%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
14%
11°C
48%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and regional meteorological services points to a minimum temperature near 13°C in São Paulo overnight into September 17, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and high pressure suppressing significant cooling or warming. Hourly observations show temperatures stabilizing around 13–14°C in the pre-dawn hours after daytime highs near 18°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows reach 12°C but recent dry conditions have limited further nocturnal drops. Trader emphasis on the 13°C outcome reflects this narrow range in updated model runs, with lower probabilities for 12°C or below tied to any unexpected radiative cooling or 11°C thresholds requiring stronger high-pressure persistence. New observational data from surface stations will refine resolution as the day progresses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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