Recent forecast guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 19 with light southeasterly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 26°C under stable high pressure. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 25–27°C. Trader positioning, however, clusters heavily around 29–30°C, likely reflecting minor upward revisions in some ensemble members, potential urban heat-island effects on official observations, or lingering warm anomalies from the prior week. Short-range model agreement remains high, with low precipitation risk and limited diurnal spread, though final recorded highs can vary by 1–2°C depending on exact station and timing of peak insolation. Updated runs from CMA or NOAA ensembles expected overnight could refine the narrow 28–31°C window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 19?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 19?
30°C 49%
29°C 35%
31°C 13%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
35%
30°C
49%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
1%
30°C 49%
29°C 35%
31°C 13%
28°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
22°C or below
$193 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$103 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$99 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$126 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$1,257 ปริมาณ
35%
30°C
$1,924 ปริมาณ
49%
31°C
$671 ปริมาณ
13%
32°C or higher
$157 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 19 with light southeasterly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 26°C under stable high pressure. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 25–27°C. Trader positioning, however, clusters heavily around 29–30°C, likely reflecting minor upward revisions in some ensemble members, potential urban heat-island effects on official observations, or lingering warm anomalies from the prior week. Short-range model agreement remains high, with low precipitation risk and limited diurnal spread, though final recorded highs can vary by 1–2°C depending on exact station and timing of peak insolation. Updated runs from CMA or NOAA ensembles expected overnight could refine the narrow 28–31°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,592วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 19 with light southeasterly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 26°C under stable high pressure. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 25–27°C. Trader positioning, however, clusters heavily around 29–30°C, likely reflecting minor upward revisions in some ensemble members, potential urban heat-island effects on official observations, or lingering warm anomalies from the prior week. Short-range model agreement remains high, with low precipitation risk and limited diurnal spread, though final recorded highs can vary by 1–2°C depending on exact station and timing of peak insolation. Updated runs from CMA or NOAA ensembles expected overnight could refine the narrow 28–31°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,592วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows mostly clear to sunny conditions over Qingdao on September 19 with light southeasterly winds, supporting a daily maximum near 26°C under stable high pressure. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where average highs hover around 25–27°C. Trader positioning, however, clusters heavily around 29–30°C, likely reflecting minor upward revisions in some ensemble members, potential urban heat-island effects on official observations, or lingering warm anomalies from the prior week. Short-range model agreement remains high, with low precipitation risk and limited diurnal spread, though final recorded highs can vary by 1–2°C depending on exact station and timing of peak insolation. Updated runs from CMA or NOAA ensembles expected overnight could refine the narrow 28–31°C window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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