**Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport project a high near 72°F under sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds, positioning the 70-71°F bin as the market leader at 41% implied probability.** This aligns with the long-term September average high of approximately 71°F and recent model consensus showing limited marine layer influence or fog suppression on the day. Coastal moderation from the Pacific, typical for mid-September, reduces the likelihood of extremes, while observed early-morning readings near 59°F support gradual daytime warming without exceeding the upper 60s to low 70s in most guidance. Traders appear to weigh the NWS outlook most heavily against historical variability, where highs in the 68-73°F range have dominated recent Septembers. Resolution will depend on official station measurements once the full diurnal cycle completes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 19?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 19?
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 21%
72-73°F 18%
66-67°F 16%
ใหม่
$13,462 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,462 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
41%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 41%
68-69°F 21%
72-73°F 18%
66-67°F 16%
ใหม่
$13,462 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,462 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
65°F or below
$109 ปริมาณ
1%
66-67°F
$1,322 ปริมาณ
16%
68-69°F
$2,555 ปริมาณ
21%
70-71°F
$1,883 ปริมาณ
41%
72-73°F
$1,315 ปริมาณ
18%
74-75°F
$1,473 ปริมาณ
8%
76-77°F
$418 ปริมาณ
4%
78-79°F
$217 ปริมาณ
1%
80-81°F
$196 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$1,363 ปริมาณ
<1%
84°F or higher
$2,612 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport project a high near 72°F under sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds, positioning the 70-71°F bin as the market leader at 41% implied probability.** This aligns with the long-term September average high of approximately 71°F and recent model consensus showing limited marine layer influence or fog suppression on the day. Coastal moderation from the Pacific, typical for mid-September, reduces the likelihood of extremes, while observed early-morning readings near 59°F support gradual daytime warming without exceeding the upper 60s to low 70s in most guidance. Traders appear to weigh the NWS outlook most heavily against historical variability, where highs in the 68-73°F range have dominated recent Septembers. Resolution will depend on official station measurements once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,462วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport project a high near 72°F under sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds, positioning the 70-71°F bin as the market leader at 41% implied probability.** This aligns with the long-term September average high of approximately 71°F and recent model consensus showing limited marine layer influence or fog suppression on the day. Coastal moderation from the Pacific, typical for mid-September, reduces the likelihood of extremes, while observed early-morning readings near 59°F support gradual daytime warming without exceeding the upper 60s to low 70s in most guidance. Traders appear to weigh the NWS outlook most heavily against historical variability, where highs in the 68-73°F range have dominated recent Septembers. Resolution will depend on official station measurements once the full diurnal cycle completes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,462วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco International Airport project a high near 72°F under sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds, positioning the 70-71°F bin as the market leader at 41% implied probability.** This aligns with the long-term September average high of approximately 71°F and recent model consensus showing limited marine layer influence or fog suppression on the day. Coastal moderation from the Pacific, typical for mid-September, reduces the likelihood of extremes, while observed early-morning readings near 59°F support gradual daytime warming without exceeding the upper 60s to low 70s in most guidance. Traders appear to weigh the NWS outlook most heavily against historical variability, where highs in the 68-73°F range have dominated recent Septembers. Resolution will depend on official station measurements once the full diurnal cycle completes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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