Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 19 under a southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air, with increasing cloud cover and light rain risk limiting daytime heating. This synoptic setup—typical for mid-September—keeps temperatures near the seasonal climatological mean while suppressing stronger warming that would require clearer skies or a more southerly wind component. Short-range model runs show tight clustering around these values, with minimal spread, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C followed by 21°C and 23°C. Traders appear to be pricing in the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution, given stable large-scale patterns and the absence of blocking highs or cold fronts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on September 19?
Highest temperature in London on September 19?
22°C 47%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
20°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
25%
22°C
47%
23°C
22%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 47%
21°C 25%
23°C 22%
20°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
16°C or below
$209 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$373 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$98 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$191 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$292 ปริมาณ
4%
21°C
$1,211 ปริมาณ
25%
22°C
$1,902 ปริมาณ
47%
23°C
$359 ปริมาณ
22%
24°C
$281 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$108 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C or higher
$208 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 19 under a southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air, with increasing cloud cover and light rain risk limiting daytime heating. This synoptic setup—typical for mid-September—keeps temperatures near the seasonal climatological mean while suppressing stronger warming that would require clearer skies or a more southerly wind component. Short-range model runs show tight clustering around these values, with minimal spread, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C followed by 21°C and 23°C. Traders appear to be pricing in the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution, given stable large-scale patterns and the absence of blocking highs or cold fronts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,232วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 19 under a southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air, with increasing cloud cover and light rain risk limiting daytime heating. This synoptic setup—typical for mid-September—keeps temperatures near the seasonal climatological mean while suppressing stronger warming that would require clearer skies or a more southerly wind component. Short-range model runs show tight clustering around these values, with minimal spread, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C followed by 21°C and 23°C. Traders appear to be pricing in the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution, given stable large-scale patterns and the absence of blocking highs or cold fronts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,232วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance and ensemble models point to a maximum of 21–23°C in London on September 19 under a southwesterly flow advecting mild maritime air, with increasing cloud cover and light rain risk limiting daytime heating. This synoptic setup—typical for mid-September—keeps temperatures near the seasonal climatological mean while suppressing stronger warming that would require clearer skies or a more southerly wind component. Short-range model runs show tight clustering around these values, with minimal spread, which underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 22°C followed by 21°C and 23°C. Traders appear to be pricing in the low likelihood of significant forecast shifts before resolution, given stable large-scale patterns and the absence of blocking highs or cold fronts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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