Mild southwesterly winds and persistent cloud cover are positioning London's minimum temperature for September 19 near 16–17°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 51% and 34.5% implied probability. Official Met Office guidance and multiple model runs indicate overnight lows holding around 16°C under overcast skies with limited radiational cooling, while daytime highs reach 21–23°C. This reflects a stable maritime air mass without significant frontal passages or clear-sky conditions that could drive sharper drops. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical September baselines, where such mild minima are typical absent unusual high-pressure setups. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term data points that could refine resolution probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 19?
Lowest temperature in London on September 19?
17°C 51%
16°C 37%
18°C 14%
14°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
2%
13°C
3%
14°C
5%
15°C
5%
16°C
37%
17°C
51%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
17°C 51%
16°C 37%
18°C 14%
14°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
12°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
15°C
$110 ปริมาณ
5%
16°C
$1,808 ปริมาณ
37%
17°C
$1,135 ปริมาณ
51%
18°C
$1,592 ปริมาณ
14%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild southwesterly winds and persistent cloud cover are positioning London's minimum temperature for September 19 near 16–17°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 51% and 34.5% implied probability. Official Met Office guidance and multiple model runs indicate overnight lows holding around 16°C under overcast skies with limited radiational cooling, while daytime highs reach 21–23°C. This reflects a stable maritime air mass without significant frontal passages or clear-sky conditions that could drive sharper drops. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical September baselines, where such mild minima are typical absent unusual high-pressure setups. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term data points that could refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,645วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mild southwesterly winds and persistent cloud cover are positioning London's minimum temperature for September 19 near 16–17°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 51% and 34.5% implied probability. Official Met Office guidance and multiple model runs indicate overnight lows holding around 16°C under overcast skies with limited radiational cooling, while daytime highs reach 21–23°C. This reflects a stable maritime air mass without significant frontal passages or clear-sky conditions that could drive sharper drops. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical September baselines, where such mild minima are typical absent unusual high-pressure setups. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term data points that could refine resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,645วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Mild southwesterly winds and persistent cloud cover are positioning London's minimum temperature for September 19 near 16–17°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 51% and 34.5% implied probability. Official Met Office guidance and multiple model runs indicate overnight lows holding around 16°C under overcast skies with limited radiational cooling, while daytime highs reach 21–23°C. This reflects a stable maritime air mass without significant frontal passages or clear-sky conditions that could drive sharper drops. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and historical September baselines, where such mild minima are typical absent unusual high-pressure setups. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term data points that could refine resolution probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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