Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate fine, dry conditions on September 18 under a northeast monsoon and strengthening anticyclone aloft, favoring subsidence, clear skies, and daytime heating. This setup typically produces maximum temperatures near the late-summer climatological average of 30–31 °C, with east winds of force 4–5 limiting cloud build-up and allowing peak readings in the early afternoon. Recent model runs show minor spread between 31 °C and 32 °C depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes while keeping higher or lower thresholds at low implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
32°C 39%
31°C 37%
30°C 15%
33°C 11%
ใหม่
$11,818 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,818 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
37%
32°C
39%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 39%
31°C 37%
30°C 15%
33°C 11%
ใหม่
$11,818 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,818 ปริมาณ
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
$937 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,145 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$500 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$475 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$709 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$667 ปริมาณ
15%
31°C
$1,961 ปริมาณ
37%
32°C
$3,082 ปริมาณ
39%
33°C
$979 ปริมาณ
11%
34°C
$522 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C or higher
$841 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate fine, dry conditions on September 18 under a northeast monsoon and strengthening anticyclone aloft, favoring subsidence, clear skies, and daytime heating. This setup typically produces maximum temperatures near the late-summer climatological average of 30–31 °C, with east winds of force 4–5 limiting cloud build-up and allowing peak readings in the early afternoon. Recent model runs show minor spread between 31 °C and 32 °C depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes while keeping higher or lower thresholds at low implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,818วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate fine, dry conditions on September 18 under a northeast monsoon and strengthening anticyclone aloft, favoring subsidence, clear skies, and daytime heating. This setup typically produces maximum temperatures near the late-summer climatological average of 30–31 °C, with east winds of force 4–5 limiting cloud build-up and allowing peak readings in the early afternoon. Recent model runs show minor spread between 31 °C and 32 °C depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes while keeping higher or lower thresholds at low implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,818วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and supporting models indicate fine, dry conditions on September 18 under a northeast monsoon and strengthening anticyclone aloft, favoring subsidence, clear skies, and daytime heating. This setup typically produces maximum temperatures near the late-summer climatological average of 30–31 °C, with east winds of force 4–5 limiting cloud build-up and allowing peak readings in the early afternoon. Recent model runs show minor spread between 31 °C and 32 °C depending on exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, creating the tight market split between those two outcomes while keeping higher or lower thresholds at low implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย