Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate fine, dry conditions under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with September 19 minimum temperatures expected near 25–27°C amid daytime highs of 32–33°C. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging 26°C and recent observations showing stable warmth without significant cooling from fronts or rain. Trader consensus favors 27°C and 26°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflect the low likelihood of atypical cooling in the current pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings through September 18 will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
27°C 50%
21°C or below 38%
25°C 38%
26°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
38%
22°C
25%
23°C
25%
24°C
30%
25°C
38%
26°C
29%
27°C
50%
28°C
26%
29°C
32%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 50%
21°C or below 38%
25°C 38%
26°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
21°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
29%
27°C
$71 ปริมาณ
50%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate fine, dry conditions under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with September 19 minimum temperatures expected near 25–27°C amid daytime highs of 32–33°C. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging 26°C and recent observations showing stable warmth without significant cooling from fronts or rain. Trader consensus favors 27°C and 26°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflect the low likelihood of atypical cooling in the current pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings through September 18 will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate fine, dry conditions under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with September 19 minimum temperatures expected near 25–27°C amid daytime highs of 32–33°C. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging 26°C and recent observations showing stable warmth without significant cooling from fronts or rain. Trader consensus favors 27°C and 26°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflect the low likelihood of atypical cooling in the current pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings through September 18 will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$76วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate fine, dry conditions under a persistent northeast monsoon and aloft anticyclone, with September 19 minimum temperatures expected near 25–27°C amid daytime highs of 32–33°C. This aligns with climatological September lows averaging 26°C and recent observations showing stable warmth without significant cooling from fronts or rain. Trader consensus favors 27°C and 26°C as leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or below reflect the low likelihood of atypical cooling in the current pattern. Updated model runs and official briefings through September 18 will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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