Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear skies, low humidity (50-85%), and strong solar insolation over Hong Kong, driving the market's concentration on 31–34°C outcomes for September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33°C range under fine, very hot conditions, consistent with current model consensus showing daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Light easterly winds (force 3–4) limit mixing while sea-surface temperatures near 27°C provide ample moisture for potential afternoon heating without triggering widespread cloud. Minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift probabilities among the clustered 31–34°C bins before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 19?
32°C 37%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
11%
31°C
24%
32°C
37%
33°C
19%
34°C
11%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 24%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 19, 2026
26°C or below
$309 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$125 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$68 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
31°C
$5 ปริมาณ
24%
32°C
$115 ปริมาณ
37%
33°C
$133 ปริมาณ
19%
34°C
$410 ปริมาณ
11%
35°C
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
36°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear skies, low humidity (50-85%), and strong solar insolation over Hong Kong, driving the market's concentration on 31–34°C outcomes for September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33°C range under fine, very hot conditions, consistent with current model consensus showing daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Light easterly winds (force 3–4) limit mixing while sea-surface temperatures near 27°C provide ample moisture for potential afternoon heating without triggering widespread cloud. Minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift probabilities among the clustered 31–34°C bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,186วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear skies, low humidity (50-85%), and strong solar insolation over Hong Kong, driving the market's concentration on 31–34°C outcomes for September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33°C range under fine, very hot conditions, consistent with current model consensus showing daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Light easterly winds (force 3–4) limit mixing while sea-surface temperatures near 27°C provide ample moisture for potential afternoon heating without triggering widespread cloud. Minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift probabilities among the clustered 31–34°C bins before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,186วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear skies, low humidity (50-85%), and strong solar insolation over Hong Kong, driving the market's concentration on 31–34°C outcomes for September 19. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 27–33°C range under fine, very hot conditions, consistent with current model consensus showing daytime maxima near or slightly above seasonal norms. Light easterly winds (force 3–4) limit mixing while sea-surface temperatures near 27°C provide ample moisture for potential afternoon heating without triggering widespread cloud. Minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift probabilities among the clustered 31–34°C bins before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย