National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 19 under sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover, sustaining above-normal temperatures roughly 10°F above the late-September average of 89°F. Persistent warm advection and strong daytime heating favor peaks in the upper 90s, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 55.5% implied probability. Lower odds on 100-101°F reflect model spread and potential for slight cooling from variable winds, while sub-95°F outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected moisture or frontal passage. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on September 19?
96-97°F 55%
98-99°F 40%
100-101°F 11%
102-103°F 10%
89°F or below
4%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
55%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
5%
108°F or higher
4%
96-97°F 55%
98-99°F 40%
100-101°F 11%
102-103°F 10%
89°F or below
4%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
55%
98-99°F
32%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
5%
108°F or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate a high near 100°F for Dallas on September 19 under sunny skies, light southerly flow, and minimal cloud cover, sustaining above-normal temperatures roughly 10°F above the late-September average of 89°F. Persistent warm advection and strong daytime heating favor peaks in the upper 90s, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 55.5% implied probability. Lower odds on 100-101°F reflect model spread and potential for slight cooling from variable winds, while sub-95°F outcomes remain unlikely absent unexpected moisture or frontal passage. Final National Weather Service observations will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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