Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on September 17?
Highest temperature in London on September 17?
21°C 54%
20°C 28%
22°C 15%
19°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
28%
21°C
54%
22°C
15%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 54%
20°C 28%
22°C 15%
19°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
15°C or below
$205 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$108 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$343 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$242 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,755 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$1,449 ปริมาณ
28%
21°C
$1,693 ปริมาณ
54%
22°C
$764 ปริมาณ
15%
23°C
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$380 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C or higher
$149 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,268วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$7,268วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in London on September 17, driven by mild westerly flow, increasing afternoon cloud, and a chance of light showers that could limit peak warming. Historical September averages hover around 19–21°C, providing a climatological baseline consistent with current guidance. Trader positioning, with 21°C leading at 53.5% implied probability ahead of 20°C at 27.5%, reflects residual model spread and potential for localized variations at official recording sites, while lower odds on 22°C or cooler outcomes align with the narrow expected range and limited intensification potential before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning represent the key near-term data points that could shift these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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