Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate overnight lows in London on September 16 will likely reach 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those two outcomes. A post-warm front cooling trend, drier air advection, and limited cloud cover overnight are the main drivers pushing implied probabilities toward this narrow band near the long-term September average of 11.6 °C. Model runs show little spread in minimum temperatures, with only modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds or isolated showers that could trim a degree or two. Traders are therefore pricing the resolution criteria tightly around the current consensus guidance, with limited movement expected until the final 24-hour forecast update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 16?
Lowest temperature in London on September 16?
13°C 49%
12°C 34%
11°C 25%
14°C 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
16%
9°C
20%
10°C
23%
11°C
25%
12°C
34%
13°C
49%
14°C
24%
15°C
8%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 49%
12°C 34%
11°C 25%
14°C 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
8°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
12°C
$125 ปริมาณ
34%
13°C
$413 ปริมาณ
49%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate overnight lows in London on September 16 will likely reach 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those two outcomes. A post-warm front cooling trend, drier air advection, and limited cloud cover overnight are the main drivers pushing implied probabilities toward this narrow band near the long-term September average of 11.6 °C. Model runs show little spread in minimum temperatures, with only modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds or isolated showers that could trim a degree or two. Traders are therefore pricing the resolution criteria tightly around the current consensus guidance, with limited movement expected until the final 24-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$498วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate overnight lows in London on September 16 will likely reach 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those two outcomes. A post-warm front cooling trend, drier air advection, and limited cloud cover overnight are the main drivers pushing implied probabilities toward this narrow band near the long-term September average of 11.6 °C. Model runs show little spread in minimum temperatures, with only modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds or isolated showers that could trim a degree or two. Traders are therefore pricing the resolution criteria tightly around the current consensus guidance, with limited movement expected until the final 24-hour forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$498วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Met Office and global models indicate overnight lows in London on September 16 will likely reach 12–13 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those two outcomes. A post-warm front cooling trend, drier air advection, and limited cloud cover overnight are the main drivers pushing implied probabilities toward this narrow band near the long-term September average of 11.6 °C. Model runs show little spread in minimum temperatures, with only modest uncertainty from variable wind speeds or isolated showers that could trim a degree or two. Traders are therefore pricing the resolution criteria tightly around the current consensus guidance, with limited movement expected until the final 24-hour forecast update.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย