Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for Los Angeles on September 16, driven by a persistent marine layer, light onshore flow, and clear evening skies that limit radiative cooling. This consensus supports the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 47.5% implied probability, with 66-67°F close behind, aligning with the climatological average low of 63.7°F and recent September observations. The notable 28% probability assigned to 57°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from potential stronger marine influence or model spread, though official guidance shows limited support for such an outlier cool outcome. Updated short-range model runs and the evening forecast briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 16?
68-69°F 50%
57°F or below 47%
76°F or higher 47%
64-65°F 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
57°F or below
47%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
13%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
54%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
4%
76°F or higher
47%
68-69°F 50%
57°F or below 47%
76°F or higher 47%
64-65°F 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
57°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
58-59°F
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
60-61°F
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
66-67°F
$350 ปริมาณ
27%
68-69°F
$135 ปริมาณ
54%
70-71°F
$45 ปริมาณ
12%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
76°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for Los Angeles on September 16, driven by a persistent marine layer, light onshore flow, and clear evening skies that limit radiative cooling. This consensus supports the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 47.5% implied probability, with 66-67°F close behind, aligning with the climatological average low of 63.7°F and recent September observations. The notable 28% probability assigned to 57°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from potential stronger marine influence or model spread, though official guidance shows limited support for such an outlier cool outcome. Updated short-range model runs and the evening forecast briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$529วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for Los Angeles on September 16, driven by a persistent marine layer, light onshore flow, and clear evening skies that limit radiative cooling. This consensus supports the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 47.5% implied probability, with 66-67°F close behind, aligning with the climatological average low of 63.7°F and recent September observations. The notable 28% probability assigned to 57°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from potential stronger marine influence or model spread, though official guidance shows limited support for such an outlier cool outcome. Updated short-range model runs and the evening forecast briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$529วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble models indicate overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for Los Angeles on September 16, driven by a persistent marine layer, light onshore flow, and clear evening skies that limit radiative cooling. This consensus supports the market's leading 68-69°F bin at 47.5% implied probability, with 66-67°F close behind, aligning with the climatological average low of 63.7°F and recent September observations. The notable 28% probability assigned to 57°F or below reflects residual uncertainty from potential stronger marine influence or model spread, though official guidance shows limited support for such an outlier cool outcome. Updated short-range model runs and the evening forecast briefing remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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