Recent forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high near 30–31°C in Manila on September 15, shaped by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the southwest monsoon. These conditions reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling, capping temperatures below seasonal peaks. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, with recent days showing similar suppressed maxima amid overcast skies. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C likely reflects uncertainty ranges in numerical weather prediction outputs and potential for brief clear spells allowing localized warming, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. Official observations from agencies like PAGASA will determine the final recorded high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on September 15?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 15?
33°C 51%
32°C 34%
31°C 16%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
16%
32°C
34%
33°C
51%
34°C
8%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 51%
32°C 34%
31°C 16%
34°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
27°C or below
$66 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$78 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$447 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$1,754 ปริมาณ
16%
32°C
$1,012 ปริมาณ
34%
33°C
$2,526 ปริมาณ
51%
34°C
$843 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$522 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$66 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$16 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high near 30–31°C in Manila on September 15, shaped by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the southwest monsoon. These conditions reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling, capping temperatures below seasonal peaks. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, with recent days showing similar suppressed maxima amid overcast skies. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C likely reflects uncertainty ranges in numerical weather prediction outputs and potential for brief clear spells allowing localized warming, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. Official observations from agencies like PAGASA will determine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,437วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high near 30–31°C in Manila on September 15, shaped by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the southwest monsoon. These conditions reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling, capping temperatures below seasonal peaks. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, with recent days showing similar suppressed maxima amid overcast skies. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C likely reflects uncertainty ranges in numerical weather prediction outputs and potential for brief clear spells allowing localized warming, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. Official observations from agencies like PAGASA will determine the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,437วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models project a daytime high near 30–31°C in Manila on September 15, shaped by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the southwest monsoon. These conditions reduce solar insolation and evaporative cooling, capping temperatures below seasonal peaks. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, with recent days showing similar suppressed maxima amid overcast skies. Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C likely reflects uncertainty ranges in numerical weather prediction outputs and potential for brief clear spells allowing localized warming, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ align with the low likelihood of significant model shifts before resolution. Official observations from agencies like PAGASA will determine the final recorded high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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