**Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 16, 2026, show a consensus maximum temperature of 16–18°C under southerly winds and partly to mostly clear skies following overnight rain.** Multiple models, including those referenced by Met Office and other meteorological services, indicate a high near 17°C as the most probable outcome, with limited daytime warming due to the influx of cooler maritime air from the south. This aligns with spring climatology in the region, where average September maxima hover around 18–19°C but can be suppressed by post-frontal conditions and the influence of the Benguela Current. **Trader positioning favoring 18°C (58.5% implied probability) over 17°C (34%) reflects slight optimism in model runs showing potential for modest afternoon recovery if cloud cover remains limited and winds moderate.** Recent developments, including the passage of a frontal system on September 15 with associated rain and stronger northwesterlies, have set up drier, clearer conditions for the 16th. Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Cape Town station, typically Cape Town International Airport. No extreme anomalies or rapid model shifts have emerged in the latest updates, keeping probabilities clustered tightly around these two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 16?
18°C 61%
17°C 34%
16°C 4%
19°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
34%
18°C
61%
19°C
4%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
18°C 61%
17°C 34%
16°C 4%
19°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
11°C or below
$368 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$326 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$214 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$197 ปริมาณ
3%
15°C
$424 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C
$879 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$732 ปริมาณ
34%
18°C
$1,609 ปริมาณ
61%
19°C
$827 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C or higher
$204 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 16, 2026, show a consensus maximum temperature of 16–18°C under southerly winds and partly to mostly clear skies following overnight rain.** Multiple models, including those referenced by Met Office and other meteorological services, indicate a high near 17°C as the most probable outcome, with limited daytime warming due to the influx of cooler maritime air from the south. This aligns with spring climatology in the region, where average September maxima hover around 18–19°C but can be suppressed by post-frontal conditions and the influence of the Benguela Current.
**Trader positioning favoring 18°C (58.5% implied probability) over 17°C (34%) reflects slight optimism in model runs showing potential for modest afternoon recovery if cloud cover remains limited and winds moderate.** Recent developments, including the passage of a frontal system on September 15 with associated rain and stronger northwesterlies, have set up drier, clearer conditions for the 16th. Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Cape Town station, typically Cape Town International Airport. No extreme anomalies or rapid model shifts have emerged in the latest updates, keeping probabilities clustered tightly around these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,780วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 16, 2026, show a consensus maximum temperature of 16–18°C under southerly winds and partly to mostly clear skies following overnight rain.** Multiple models, including those referenced by Met Office and other meteorological services, indicate a high near 17°C as the most probable outcome, with limited daytime warming due to the influx of cooler maritime air from the south. This aligns with spring climatology in the region, where average September maxima hover around 18–19°C but can be suppressed by post-frontal conditions and the influence of the Benguela Current.
**Trader positioning favoring 18°C (58.5% implied probability) over 17°C (34%) reflects slight optimism in model runs showing potential for modest afternoon recovery if cloud cover remains limited and winds moderate.** Recent developments, including the passage of a frontal system on September 15 with associated rain and stronger northwesterlies, have set up drier, clearer conditions for the 16th. Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Cape Town station, typically Cape Town International Airport. No extreme anomalies or rapid model shifts have emerged in the latest updates, keeping probabilities clustered tightly around these two leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,780วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Cape Town on September 16, 2026, show a consensus maximum temperature of 16–18°C under southerly winds and partly to mostly clear skies following overnight rain.** Multiple models, including those referenced by Met Office and other meteorological services, indicate a high near 17°C as the most probable outcome, with limited daytime warming due to the influx of cooler maritime air from the south. This aligns with spring climatology in the region, where average September maxima hover around 18–19°C but can be suppressed by post-frontal conditions and the influence of the Benguela Current. **Trader positioning favoring 18°C (58.5% implied probability) over 17°C (34%) reflects slight optimism in model runs showing potential for modest afternoon recovery if cloud cover remains limited and winds moderate.** Recent developments, including the passage of a frontal system on September 15 with associated rain and stronger northwesterlies, have set up drier, clearer conditions for the 16th. Key resolution factors include the official daily maximum recorded at the primary Cape Town station, typically Cape Town International Airport. No extreme anomalies or rapid model shifts have emerged in the latest updates, keeping probabilities clustered tightly around these two leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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