Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and European models indicates a daytime high of 17–18°C in Cape Town on September 15, driven by persistent northwest winds, extensive cloud cover, and light rain that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions follow a stretch of unsettled spring weather with above-normal precipitation and temperatures near or slightly below the monthly average maximum of 19°C. The market’s heaviest weighting toward 18°C reflects trader alignment with the latest ensemble guidance, while the secondary probability on 17°C accounts for uncertainty in exact peak timing amid variable wind gusts up to 30 km/h. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 15?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 15?
18°C 43%
17°C 26%
19°C 15%
16°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
26%
18°C
43%
19°C
15%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 43%
17°C 26%
19°C 15%
16°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
12°C or below
$177 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$18 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$103 ปริมาณ
3%
16°C
$308 ปริมาณ
7%
17°C
$1,573 ปริมาณ
26%
18°C
$1,736 ปริมาณ
43%
19°C
$1,575 ปริมาณ
15%
20°C
$190 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$71 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and European models indicates a daytime high of 17–18°C in Cape Town on September 15, driven by persistent northwest winds, extensive cloud cover, and light rain that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions follow a stretch of unsettled spring weather with above-normal precipitation and temperatures near or slightly below the monthly average maximum of 19°C. The market’s heaviest weighting toward 18°C reflects trader alignment with the latest ensemble guidance, while the secondary probability on 17°C accounts for uncertainty in exact peak timing amid variable wind gusts up to 30 km/h. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,770วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and European models indicates a daytime high of 17–18°C in Cape Town on September 15, driven by persistent northwest winds, extensive cloud cover, and light rain that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions follow a stretch of unsettled spring weather with above-normal precipitation and temperatures near or slightly below the monthly average maximum of 19°C. The market’s heaviest weighting toward 18°C reflects trader alignment with the latest ensemble guidance, while the secondary probability on 17°C accounts for uncertainty in exact peak timing amid variable wind gusts up to 30 km/h. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,770วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and European models indicates a daytime high of 17–18°C in Cape Town on September 15, driven by persistent northwest winds, extensive cloud cover, and light rain that limit solar heating and enhance evaporative cooling. These conditions follow a stretch of unsettled spring weather with above-normal precipitation and temperatures near or slightly below the monthly average maximum of 19°C. The market’s heaviest weighting toward 18°C reflects trader alignment with the latest ensemble guidance, while the secondary probability on 17°C accounts for uncertainty in exact peak timing amid variable wind gusts up to 30 km/h. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service observations will provide the next key data points before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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