Recent forecast models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles show Moscow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds on September 16, supporting daytime maximum temperatures near 17°C—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.2°C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover should promote modest solar heating without significant advection of warmer air, while overnight lows near 8–11°C limit carryover warmth. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes, where 17°C holds 49.5% implied probability and 18°C follows at 38.5%, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak afternoon readings. Probabilities for 19°C or higher stay low at under 6% combined, consistent with typical late-summer cooling patterns and absence of anomalous warm-air advection. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on September 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 16?
17°C 56%
18°C 37%
16°C 4%
19°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
4%
17°C
56%
18°C
37%
19°C
3%
20°C
2%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 56%
18°C 37%
16°C 4%
19°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
12°C or below
$421 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$353 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$337 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$302 ปริมาณ
3%
16°C
$742 ปริมาณ
4%
17°C
$753 ปริมาณ
56%
18°C
$389 ปริมาณ
37%
19°C
$172 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$365 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$404 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C or higher
$636 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles show Moscow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds on September 16, supporting daytime maximum temperatures near 17°C—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.2°C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover should promote modest solar heating without significant advection of warmer air, while overnight lows near 8–11°C limit carryover warmth. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes, where 17°C holds 49.5% implied probability and 18°C follows at 38.5%, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak afternoon readings. Probabilities for 19°C or higher stay low at under 6% combined, consistent with typical late-summer cooling patterns and absence of anomalous warm-air advection. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,565วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles show Moscow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds on September 16, supporting daytime maximum temperatures near 17°C—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.2°C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover should promote modest solar heating without significant advection of warmer air, while overnight lows near 8–11°C limit carryover warmth. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes, where 17°C holds 49.5% implied probability and 18°C follows at 38.5%, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak afternoon readings. Probabilities for 19°C or higher stay low at under 6% combined, consistent with typical late-summer cooling patterns and absence of anomalous warm-air advection. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,565วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and GFS ensembles show Moscow under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds on September 16, supporting daytime maximum temperatures near 17°C—slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 16.2°C. Stable high pressure and minimal cloud cover should promote modest solar heating without significant advection of warmer air, while overnight lows near 8–11°C limit carryover warmth. These conditions align with the market's leading outcomes, where 17°C holds 49.5% implied probability and 18°C follows at 38.5%, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak afternoon readings. Probabilities for 19°C or higher stay low at under 6% combined, consistent with typical late-summer cooling patterns and absence of anomalous warm-air advection. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine exact peak values ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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