**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a daily maximum of 22–24 °C in Istanbul on September 17, with limited cloud cover and light northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating.** Current surface observations show temperatures near 19–21 °C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with the transition to early-autumn conditions in the Marmara region. Forecast soundings indicate modest instability and low precipitation probability (<20–30 %), reducing the chance of significant cooling from showers while limiting full insolation. Historical September maxima average near 25 °C, so the current setup favors values slightly below the seasonal mean. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 22 °C and 23 °C reflect trader alignment with these model outputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour lead time, with smaller probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers if steering patterns or cloud timing shift.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 17?
22°C 57%
23°C 35%
21°C 5%
24°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
57%
23°C
35%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
22°C 57%
23°C 35%
21°C 5%
24°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
18°C or below
$161 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$294 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$388 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$237 ปริมาณ
5%
22°C
$1,552 ปริมาณ
57%
23°C
$367 ปริมาณ
35%
24°C
$507 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$27 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$42 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a daily maximum of 22–24 °C in Istanbul on September 17, with limited cloud cover and light northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating.** Current surface observations show temperatures near 19–21 °C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with the transition to early-autumn conditions in the Marmara region. Forecast soundings indicate modest instability and low precipitation probability (<20–30 %), reducing the chance of significant cooling from showers while limiting full insolation. Historical September maxima average near 25 °C, so the current setup favors values slightly below the seasonal mean. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 22 °C and 23 °C reflect trader alignment with these model outputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour lead time, with smaller probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers if steering patterns or cloud timing shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,537วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a daily maximum of 22–24 °C in Istanbul on September 17, with limited cloud cover and light northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating.** Current surface observations show temperatures near 19–21 °C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with the transition to early-autumn conditions in the Marmara region. Forecast soundings indicate modest instability and low precipitation probability (<20–30 %), reducing the chance of significant cooling from showers while limiting full insolation. Historical September maxima average near 25 °C, so the current setup favors values slightly below the seasonal mean. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 22 °C and 23 °C reflect trader alignment with these model outputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour lead time, with smaller probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers if steering patterns or cloud timing shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,537วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF consensus point to a daily maximum of 22–24 °C in Istanbul on September 17, with limited cloud cover and light northeasterly flow moderating daytime heating.** Current surface observations show temperatures near 19–21 °C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate humidity, consistent with the transition to early-autumn conditions in the Marmara region. Forecast soundings indicate modest instability and low precipitation probability (<20–30 %), reducing the chance of significant cooling from showers while limiting full insolation. Historical September maxima average near 25 °C, so the current setup favors values slightly below the seasonal mean. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 22 °C and 23 °C reflect trader alignment with these model outputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a 24-hour lead time, with smaller probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler outliers if steering patterns or cloud timing shift.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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