Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 15, 2026, points to overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific that moderates minimum temperatures near the coast. This pattern, typical for mid-September climatology with average lows around 64°F at downtown and LAX stations, supports the market's emphasis on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F bins as leading outcomes while keeping lower ranges like 61°F or below as longer shots absent a stronger cooling surge. Updated forecasts show no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with light winds and patchy fog limiting radiative cooling overnight. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band around these mild conditions ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 15?
61°F or below 49%
80°F or higher 49%
68-69°F 45%
64-65°F 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
61°F or below
49%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
39%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
55%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
7%
80°F or higher
49%
61°F or below 49%
80°F or higher 49%
68-69°F 45%
64-65°F 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 15, 2026
61°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
62-63°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
64-65°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
66-67°F
$137 ปริมาณ
11%
68-69°F
$224 ปริมาณ
55%
70-71°F
$157 ปริมาณ
37%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
80°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 15, 2026, points to overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific that moderates minimum temperatures near the coast. This pattern, typical for mid-September climatology with average lows around 64°F at downtown and LAX stations, supports the market's emphasis on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F bins as leading outcomes while keeping lower ranges like 61°F or below as longer shots absent a stronger cooling surge. Updated forecasts show no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with light winds and patchy fog limiting radiative cooling overnight. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band around these mild conditions ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$518วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 15, 2026, points to overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific that moderates minimum temperatures near the coast. This pattern, typical for mid-September climatology with average lows around 64°F at downtown and LAX stations, supports the market's emphasis on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F bins as leading outcomes while keeping lower ranges like 61°F or below as longer shots absent a stronger cooling surge. Updated forecasts show no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with light winds and patchy fog limiting radiative cooling overnight. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band around these mild conditions ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$518วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on September 15, 2026, points to overnight lows in the mid-60s Fahrenheit, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow from the Pacific that moderates minimum temperatures near the coast. This pattern, typical for mid-September climatology with average lows around 64°F at downtown and LAX stations, supports the market's emphasis on the 68-69°F and 70-71°F bins as leading outcomes while keeping lower ranges like 61°F or below as longer shots absent a stronger cooling surge. Updated forecasts show no significant deviation from seasonal norms, with light winds and patchy fog limiting radiative cooling overnight. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band around these mild conditions ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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