Stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly flow are sustaining warm, mostly clear weather over northern Italy, driving market-implied odds toward 28–29°C for Milan’s September 14 maximum. Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS indicate daytime peaks near 26–28°C under minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-teens, with only marginal model spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley supports these values, while the absence of incoming fronts through the weekend reduces downside risk. Traders are weighting the narrow gap between 28°C and 29°C heavily because next-day model runs and local observations could easily shift the final peak by 1°C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on September 14?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 14?
29°C 44%
28°C 39%
30°C 15%
27°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
9%
28°C
39%
29°C
44%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
8%
29°C 44%
28°C 39%
30°C 15%
27°C 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
21°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
27°C
$17 ปริมาณ
9%
28°C
$375 ปริมาณ
39%
29°C
$232 ปริมาณ
44%
30°C
$88 ปริมาณ
15%
31°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly flow are sustaining warm, mostly clear weather over northern Italy, driving market-implied odds toward 28–29°C for Milan’s September 14 maximum. Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS indicate daytime peaks near 26–28°C under minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-teens, with only marginal model spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley supports these values, while the absence of incoming fronts through the weekend reduces downside risk. Traders are weighting the narrow gap between 28°C and 29°C heavily because next-day model runs and local observations could easily shift the final peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$711วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly flow are sustaining warm, mostly clear weather over northern Italy, driving market-implied odds toward 28–29°C for Milan’s September 14 maximum. Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS indicate daytime peaks near 26–28°C under minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-teens, with only marginal model spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley supports these values, while the absence of incoming fronts through the weekend reduces downside risk. Traders are weighting the narrow gap between 28°C and 29°C heavily because next-day model runs and local observations could easily shift the final peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$711วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly flow are sustaining warm, mostly clear weather over northern Italy, driving market-implied odds toward 28–29°C for Milan’s September 14 maximum. Official and ensemble guidance from sources such as ECMWF and GFS indicate daytime peaks near 26–28°C under minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-teens, with only marginal model spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing. Historical September climatology for the Po Valley supports these values, while the absence of incoming fronts through the weekend reduces downside risk. Traders are weighting the narrow gap between 28°C and 29°C heavily because next-day model runs and local observations could easily shift the final peak by 1°C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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