**Forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 17, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 20–23°C with an overnight low around 10–13°C, driven by a shift from cool southeasterly flow on September 15–16 to lighter northerly winds that moderate temperatures.** This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C threshold yet below 16°C, creating balanced market odds near 44–45% for the extremes. Key scientific factors include nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, dew-point depression, and variable boundary-layer mixing influenced by wind direction and speed. Model differences in exact wind timing, cloud cover, or urban heat effects introduce uncertainty around the precise minimum, keeping probabilities for intermediate values like 8–11°C near 20–21% and reflecting genuine forecast spread rather than consensus on an outlier outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 17?
6°C or below 88%
16°C or higher 88%
7°C 40%
12°C 39%
6°C or below
88%
7°C
40%
8°C
21%
9°C
22%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
88%
6°C or below 88%
16°C or higher 88%
7°C 40%
12°C 39%
6°C or below
88%
7°C
40%
8°C
21%
9°C
22%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 17, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 20–23°C with an overnight low around 10–13°C, driven by a shift from cool southeasterly flow on September 15–16 to lighter northerly winds that moderate temperatures.** This places the expected minimum well above the 6°C threshold yet below 16°C, creating balanced market odds near 44–45% for the extremes. Key scientific factors include nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies, dew-point depression, and variable boundary-layer mixing influenced by wind direction and speed. Model differences in exact wind timing, cloud cover, or urban heat effects introduce uncertainty around the precise minimum, keeping probabilities for intermediate values like 8–11°C near 20–21% and reflecting genuine forecast spread rather than consensus on an outlier outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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