Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service indicate a high near 18–19°C for Buenos Aires on September 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwest winds shifting southeast. This aligns with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 45% implied probability and 18°C at 29%, reflecting typical mid-spring climatology where average September highs reach 19–20°C. Stable high pressure and limited moisture support modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air, while overnight lows near 8–10°C constrain the daily maximum. Updated model runs show little deviation from these values, with resolution likely hinging on official station readings at central observatories.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 15?
19°C 41%
18°C 23%
20°C 22%
17°C 6%
$19,901 ปริมาณ
$19,901 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
23%
19°C
41%
20°C
22%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
19°C 41%
18°C 23%
20°C 22%
17°C 6%
$19,901 ปริมาณ
$19,901 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
23%
19°C
41%
20°C
22%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Service indicate a high near 18–19°C for Buenos Aires on September 15, 2026, under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwest winds shifting southeast. This aligns with the market’s leading 19°C outcome at 45% implied probability and 18°C at 29%, reflecting typical mid-spring climatology where average September highs reach 19–20°C. Stable high pressure and limited moisture support modest daytime warming without significant advection of warmer air, while overnight lows near 8–10°C constrain the daily maximum. Updated model runs show little deviation from these values, with resolution likely hinging on official station readings at central observatories.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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