Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Dallas on September 19 show a continued warm, southerly flow with clear skies, supporting a nighttime low in the mid-to-upper 70s°F amid elevated dew points near 60–65°F that limit radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with the ongoing September heat wave, where recent overnight minima have held in the upper 70s to low 80s, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 69°F. Model consensus remains tight on these values, though subtle shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Trader sentiment reflected in the near-even odds between 67°F or below and 86°F or higher highlights uncertainty around potential model revisions or unseasonable cold-air intrusions, with resolution hinging on official Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Dallas on September 19?
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 39%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 19%
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
11%
86°F or higher
7%
78-79°F 40%
80-81°F 39%
76-77°F 19%
82-83°F 19%
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
11%
86°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Dallas on September 19 show a continued warm, southerly flow with clear skies, supporting a nighttime low in the mid-to-upper 70s°F amid elevated dew points near 60–65°F that limit radiative cooling. This pattern aligns with the ongoing September heat wave, where recent overnight minima have held in the upper 70s to low 80s, well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 69°F. Model consensus remains tight on these values, though subtle shifts in wind direction or boundary-layer moisture could alter the minimum by a few degrees. Trader sentiment reflected in the near-even odds between 67°F or below and 86°F or higher highlights uncertainty around potential model revisions or unseasonable cold-air intrusions, with resolution hinging on official Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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