Forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on September 17 under northerly flow, with widespread cloud, showers, and gusty winds limiting daytime warming above September’s typical 12.5–13°C average. Consensus across sources points to a peak in the early afternoon before cooler southerly shifts arrive, though microscale variability around the harbor and hills introduces modest uncertainty in the exact high. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices—favoring 15°C or 14°C—aligns with this narrow range while pricing in potential for slight upward revisions if models trend warmer overnight. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the day will be the key near-term drivers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 17?
15°C 51%
14°C 32%
16°C 8%
13°C 6%
ใหม่
$10,240 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,240 ปริมาณ
Sep 17, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
6%
14°C
32%
15°C
51%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 51%
14°C 32%
16°C 8%
13°C 6%
ใหม่
$10,240 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,240 ปริมาณ
Sep 17, 2026
9°C or below
$261 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$184 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$281 ปริมาณ
1%
12°C
$104 ปริมาณ
2%
13°C
$614 ปริมาณ
6%
14°C
$5,997 ปริมาณ
32%
15°C
$1,363 ปริมาณ
51%
16°C
$564 ปริมาณ
8%
17°C
$216 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$256 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C or higher
$399 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on September 17 under northerly flow, with widespread cloud, showers, and gusty winds limiting daytime warming above September’s typical 12.5–13°C average. Consensus across sources points to a peak in the early afternoon before cooler southerly shifts arrive, though microscale variability around the harbor and hills introduces modest uncertainty in the exact high. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices—favoring 15°C or 14°C—aligns with this narrow range while pricing in potential for slight upward revisions if models trend warmer overnight. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the day will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,240วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on September 17 under northerly flow, with widespread cloud, showers, and gusty winds limiting daytime warming above September’s typical 12.5–13°C average. Consensus across sources points to a peak in the early afternoon before cooler southerly shifts arrive, though microscale variability around the harbor and hills introduces modest uncertainty in the exact high. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices—favoring 15°C or 14°C—aligns with this narrow range while pricing in potential for slight upward revisions if models trend warmer overnight. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the day will be the key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,240วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from MetService, Met Office, and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 14°C in Wellington on September 17 under northerly flow, with widespread cloud, showers, and gusty winds limiting daytime warming above September’s typical 12.5–13°C average. Consensus across sources points to a peak in the early afternoon before cooler southerly shifts arrive, though microscale variability around the harbor and hills introduces modest uncertainty in the exact high. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices—favoring 15°C or 14°C—aligns with this narrow range while pricing in potential for slight upward revisions if models trend warmer overnight. Updated forecast runs and official observations through the day will be the key near-term drivers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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