Current short-term forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug converge on a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 16, with partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds, and low shower risk supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59% implied probability). September climatology shows an average daily high near 15°C, while NIWA's spring 2026 outlook highlights a warmer-than-normal seasonal signal tied to El Niño, which elevates the chance of 16°C outcomes (18.5%) relative to cooler results. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though forecast uncertainty grows with any shift in steering patterns or cloud cover; traders monitor MetService updates and ensemble runs for revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on September 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 16?
15°C 63%
16°C 36%
14°C 20%
13°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
16%
14°C
20%
15°C
63%
16°C
36%
17°C
16%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 63%
16°C 36%
14°C 20%
13°C 16%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
9°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
11°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
14°C
$21 ปริมาณ
20%
15°C
$138 ปริมาณ
63%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug converge on a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 16, with partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds, and low shower risk supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59% implied probability). September climatology shows an average daily high near 15°C, while NIWA's spring 2026 outlook highlights a warmer-than-normal seasonal signal tied to El Niño, which elevates the chance of 16°C outcomes (18.5%) relative to cooler results. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though forecast uncertainty grows with any shift in steering patterns or cloud cover; traders monitor MetService updates and ensemble runs for revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$134วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug converge on a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 16, with partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds, and low shower risk supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59% implied probability). September climatology shows an average daily high near 15°C, while NIWA's spring 2026 outlook highlights a warmer-than-normal seasonal signal tied to El Niño, which elevates the chance of 16°C outcomes (18.5%) relative to cooler results. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though forecast uncertainty grows with any shift in steering patterns or cloud cover; traders monitor MetService updates and ensemble runs for revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$134วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from sources including the Met Office and WeatherBug converge on a maximum of 14–15°C for Wellington on September 16, with partly cloudy skies, northwesterly winds, and low shower risk supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 15°C (59% implied probability). September climatology shows an average daily high near 15°C, while NIWA's spring 2026 outlook highlights a warmer-than-normal seasonal signal tied to El Niño, which elevates the chance of 16°C outcomes (18.5%) relative to cooler results. Model consensus remains the dominant driver, though forecast uncertainty grows with any shift in steering patterns or cloud cover; traders monitor MetService updates and ensemble runs for revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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