Recent forecasts from multiple models place Jeddah’s September 19 high near 36–38 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Seasonal norms for mid-September average 35–36 °C, but recent days have run 1–3 °C above normal under clear skies and light westerly flow. Coastal sea-breeze timing and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 36 °C and 38 °C scenarios. With no significant synoptic disturbances or heat-wave signals expected through the weekend, traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance and historical verification of similar late-summer patterns to refine implied probabilities ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 19?
37°C 36%
38°C 26%
36°C 22%
35°C 19%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
19%
36°C
22%
37°C
36%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
<1%
37°C 36%
38°C 26%
36°C 22%
35°C 19%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C
16%
35°C
19%
36°C
22%
37°C
36%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models place Jeddah’s September 19 high near 36–38 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Seasonal norms for mid-September average 35–36 °C, but recent days have run 1–3 °C above normal under clear skies and light westerly flow. Coastal sea-breeze timing and minor model differences in boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between 36 °C and 38 °C scenarios. With no significant synoptic disturbances or heat-wave signals expected through the weekend, traders weigh the latest 48-hour guidance and historical verification of similar late-summer patterns to refine implied probabilities ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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