**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 20, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and early observations showing a high near that threshold.** Southerly winds and increasing cloud cover have kept temperatures suppressed relative to recent days, with Met Office guidance and model outputs pointing to a peak around 13–15°C amid light rain chances and moderate humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September (typical highs near 13–14°C) and current surface observations, such as afternoon readings near 14°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability incorporates the “wisdom of crowds” from traders assessing real-time data from agencies like MetService. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day warming spike or revision in the official maximum, though model consensus and steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on September 20?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 20?
15°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
ใหม่
$79,336 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$79,336 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
99%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 99.4%
16°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
ใหม่
$79,336 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$79,336 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
9°C or below
$214 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$952 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$1,170 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$2,902 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$7,010 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$25,483 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$16,669 ปริมาณ
99%
16°C
$16,470 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$2,162 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$5,224 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,081 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 20, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and early observations showing a high near that threshold.** Southerly winds and increasing cloud cover have kept temperatures suppressed relative to recent days, with Met Office guidance and model outputs pointing to a peak around 13–15°C amid light rain chances and moderate humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September (typical highs near 13–14°C) and current surface observations, such as afternoon readings near 14°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability incorporates the “wisdom of crowds” from traders assessing real-time data from agencies like MetService. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day warming spike or revision in the official maximum, though model consensus and steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,336วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 20, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and early observations showing a high near that threshold.** Southerly winds and increasing cloud cover have kept temperatures suppressed relative to recent days, with Met Office guidance and model outputs pointing to a peak around 13–15°C amid light rain chances and moderate humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September (typical highs near 13–14°C) and current surface observations, such as afternoon readings near 14°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability incorporates the “wisdom of crowds” from traders assessing real-time data from agencies like MetService. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day warming spike or revision in the official maximum, though model consensus and steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$79,336วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C daily maximum in Wellington on September 20, 2026, reflecting official forecasts and early observations showing a high near that threshold.** Southerly winds and increasing cloud cover have kept temperatures suppressed relative to recent days, with Met Office guidance and model outputs pointing to a peak around 13–15°C amid light rain chances and moderate humidity. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September (typical highs near 13–14°C) and current surface observations, such as afternoon readings near 14°C. The overwhelming market-implied probability incorporates the “wisdom of crowds” from traders assessing real-time data from agencies like MetService. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day warming spike or revision in the official maximum, though model consensus and steering patterns make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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