Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a high of 27–32°C on September 20 under a high-pressure anticyclone promoting mostly sunny, dry conditions with light east-to-northeast winds, though increasing afternoon cloud and isolated showers could moderate peak readings. Recent observations on September 19 reached 32–33°C at some stations, while ensemble guidance and private models show minor spreads around 32–33°C depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat effects. This narrow scientific uncertainty—centered on whether maximum temperatures hit the upper end of the official range or edge higher before any convective cooling—explains the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
33°C 53%
32°C 43%
31°C 4%
34°C 4%
ใหม่
$56,351 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$56,351 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
43%
33°C
53%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 43%
31°C 4%
34°C 4%
ใหม่
$56,351 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$56,351 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
$451 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$513 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,409 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,232 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$10,444 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$11,929 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$5,802 ปริมาณ
43%
33°C
$13,449 ปริมาณ
53%
34°C
$5,899 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$3,132 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$2,092 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a high of 27–32°C on September 20 under a high-pressure anticyclone promoting mostly sunny, dry conditions with light east-to-northeast winds, though increasing afternoon cloud and isolated showers could moderate peak readings. Recent observations on September 19 reached 32–33°C at some stations, while ensemble guidance and private models show minor spreads around 32–33°C depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat effects. This narrow scientific uncertainty—centered on whether maximum temperatures hit the upper end of the official range or edge higher before any convective cooling—explains the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,351วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a high of 27–32°C on September 20 under a high-pressure anticyclone promoting mostly sunny, dry conditions with light east-to-northeast winds, though increasing afternoon cloud and isolated showers could moderate peak readings. Recent observations on September 19 reached 32–33°C at some stations, while ensemble guidance and private models show minor spreads around 32–33°C depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat effects. This narrow scientific uncertainty—centered on whether maximum temperatures hit the upper end of the official range or edge higher before any convective cooling—explains the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,351วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate a high of 27–32°C on September 20 under a high-pressure anticyclone promoting mostly sunny, dry conditions with light east-to-northeast winds, though increasing afternoon cloud and isolated showers could moderate peak readings. Recent observations on September 19 reached 32–33°C at some stations, while ensemble guidance and private models show minor spreads around 32–33°C depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat effects. This narrow scientific uncertainty—centered on whether maximum temperatures hit the upper end of the official range or edge higher before any convective cooling—explains the near-even market split between 32°C and 33°C outcomes, with lower probabilities assigned to cooler or hotter extremes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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